Monza vs Fiorentina Prediction - Serie A Fixtures

Monza will host Fiorentina in what promises to be a compelling clash in Serie A, kicking off the second half of the season. The match takes place at the U-Power Stadium on the 13th of January, 2025, with a 19:45 start time.

Monza, struggling at the bottom of the table with only ten points, desperately needs a turnaround as they’ve lost their last five games. Fiorentina, currently sixth with 32 points, haven’t won in their last four matches, making this game critical for both teams. The weather will be chilly, with temperatures around -1°C and clear skies.

Given the odds, betting on Monza here provides a great value opportunity, especially considering their better home form despite recent losses. With Federico Dionisi officiating and both teams facing injuries, it remains to be seen which side capitalises on this pivotal match.

Monza vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting tip

Based on the match tips and available data, the recommended bet is for Monza to win. The odds for a Monza victory are favorable, offering a value opportunity despite their recent struggles. Monza has shown good home form, which bolsters their chances of clinching a win in this vital match.

Monza vs. Fiorentina Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Monza to win	5.5

• Monza’s better home form increases their likelihood of pulling off a win.
• The odds of 5.5 provide a great value betting opportunity.
• Fiorentina’s recent winless streak makes them vulnerable in this encounter. Given the context, a bet on Monza offers a solid, value-rich option for this fixture.

Monza vs Fiorentina Odds

When it comes to odds, Fiorentina are the favorites in this encounter against Monza. Despite Monza’s struggles this season, the odds suggest that betting on them might offer a high-value opportunity. Here’s a quick look at the betting odds:

Monza vs. Fiorentina Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Monza	4.04
Draw	3.52
Fiorentina	1.90

Monza Team Analysis

Monza has had a rough patch, losing their last five matches in the league, reflecting their struggles this season:

Home team	Away team	Result
Monza	Cagliari	1-2 (Loss)
Parma Calcio 1913	Monza	2-1 (Loss)
Monza	Juventus	1-2 (Loss)
Lecce	Monza	2-1 (Loss)
Monza	Udinese	1-2 (Loss)

Monza Key Players

Monza will look to Milan Djuric, their top scorer with 4 goals this season, to lead the attack against Fiorentina. With Dany Mota potentially out due to an ankle injury, Djuric’s role becomes even more critical. Salvatore Bocchetti’s side has been struggling, and a better performance from key players is essential to turning their fortunes around. Expected lineup for Monza:

• Goalkeeper: Stefano Turati
• Defenders: Armando Izzo, Andrea Carboni, Pablo Marí Villar, Pedro Pereira, Samuele Birindelli
• Midfielders: Warren Bondo, Stefano Sensi, Gianluca Caprari, Patrick Ciurria
• Forward: Milan Djuric Key midfield battles could shape the game, with Warren Bondo needing to assert himself against Fiorentina’s Rolando Mandragora.

Monza Suspensions & Injuries

Monza is facing significant challenges with multiple key players sidelined. Danilo D’Ambrosio is suspended for this match, which will impact Monza’s defensive structure. For injuries, the list is extensive with notable players such as Alessio Cragno, Roberto Gagliardini, Matteo Pessina, Georgios Kyriakopoulos, Samuele Vignato, and Dany Mota out. This could heavily affect Monza’s performance, as they are already struggling at the bottom of the table.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Alessio Cragno	Shoulder injury	Unknown
Roberto Gagliardini	Muscle injury	Late January 2025
Matteo Pessina	Hamstring injury	Doubtful
Georgios Kyriakopoulos	Muscle injury	Late January 2025
Samuele Vignato	Muscle injury	Mid January 2025
Dany Mota	Ankle injury	Late January 2025
Player	Suspension	Expected return
Danilo D’Ambrosio	Red card	1 match

Monza Tactics and Formation

Monza Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Milan Djuric
• Midfield Duo: Stefano Sensi, Warren Bondo
• Defensive Setup: Armando Izzo, Pablo Mari Villar, Andrea Carboni

Monza is expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, emphasising a robust central defence. Coach Salvatore Bocchetti will likely start Milan Djuric upfront, supported by Gianluca Caprari and Patrick Ciurria in the attacking midfield roles.

The midfield pairing of Stefano Sensi and Warren Bondo is crucial for both defensive cover and transitioning play forward. A three-man defence, led by Armando Izzo, aims to maintain a compact and resilient backline. Frequent injuries and suspensions, however, might hamper their consistency and overall game plan.

Fiorentina Team Analysis

Fiorentina has been struggling to find its footing recently, with a string of disappointing results. Their last five matches indicate a mixed bag, failing to secure a win and showing some defensive vulnerabilities.

Home team	Away team	Result
Fiorentina	SSC Napoli	0-3 (Loss)
Juventus	Fiorentina	2-2 (Draw)
Fiorentina	Udinese	1-2 (Loss)
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Fiorentina	1-1 (Draw)
Bologna	Fiorentina	1-0 (Loss)

Fiorentina Key Players

Expected lineup for Fiorentina:

• Goalkeeper: David De Gea
• Defenders: Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens
• Midfielders: Yacine Adli, Rolando Mandragora, Albert Gudmundsson, Andrea Colpani
• Attackers: Riccardo Sottil, Moise Kean

Key players for Fiorentina include their top scorer, Moise Kean, who has netted 11 goals so far this season. With his scoring prowess, the Monza defense has a tough challenge ahead.

David De Gea, the experienced goalkeeper, will be crucial in anchoring the defense and preventing Monza from capitalizing on set-piece opportunities.

In midfield, Yacine Adli’s defensive capabilities, paired with the box-to-box energy of Rolando Mandragora, are essential in controlling the game’s tempo.

Look for key battles in this match, such as Moise Kean against Monza’s Armando Izzo, and the midfield tussles between Adli and Monza’s Stefano Sensi.

Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries

Fiorentina’s squad for the upcoming match against Monza will be missing a key player due to injury. This might affect the team’s balance and depth, particularly in the midfield. Here’s a look at the injury and suspension situation:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Edoardo Bove	Heart problems	Unknown
Bove’s absence due to heart problems means there will be one less option in midfield for coach Raffaele Palladino. His defensive contributions and versatility will surely be missed. However, Fiorentina will need to compensate for this with their available squad depth, particularly relying on players like Yacine Adli and Rolando Mandragora to shore up the midfield.

Fiorentina Tactics and Formation

Fiorentina’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Moise Kean
• Attacking Midfielder: Albert Gudmundsson
• Wing Play: Andrea Colpani (Right) and Riccardo Sottil (Left)

Coach Raffaele Palladino has typically set up with a 4-2-3-1 formation, aiming for a balanced approach between defense and attack. The team relies on Moise Kean, who has been in prolific form with 11 goals so far, as their chief attacking threat.

The midfield pivot of Yacine Adli and Rolando Mandragora will play a crucial role in maintaining possession and transitioning play. Fiorentina’s wide players, Colpani and Sottil, provide width and pace, creating opportunities and stretching the opposition’s defense.

Defensively, the team will rely on the experienced David De Gea between the sticks, supported by a backline that includes Dodo and Robin Gosens as vital fullbacks. This setup, despite recent poor form, is capable of threatening Monza, especially given their superior league position and individual quality.

Monza vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five meetings between Monza and Fiorentina reveals a competitive history with both teams sharing the spoils. The matches have been tightly contested, with Fiorentina slightly edging the contest in terms of victories. Below is a summary of their past encounters:

Home	Away	Result
Fiorentina	Monza	2-2
Fiorentina	Monza	2-1
Monza	Fiorentina	0-1
Monza	Fiorentina	3-2
Fiorentina	Monza	1-1