Fiorentina vs. Juventus Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 March 2025 - bettingexpert

As Serie A heats up, Fiorentina hosts Juventus at Artemio Franchi this weekend. This matchup holds significant importance for both sides. Currently, Juventus sits in 4th place with 52 points, but Thiago Motta is under pressure following their recent Champions League exit and poor league performance against Atalanta. A defeat here could lead to Motta’s dismissal.

Fiorentina, in 8th position with 45 points, is looking to climb the standings to secure a European spot. Their form has been inconsistent (WLLWL), including a recent 3-1 Conference League win over Panathinaikos. Coach Raffaele Palladino will rely on Moise Kean, the team’s top scorer with 15 goals, to upset the odds.

Juventus, with recent form of LLLWW, will be favorites to win, despite missing key players like Bremer due to injury. Dusan Vlahovic and a solid defense led by Michele Di Gregorio aim to solidify their top-four position. Referee Michael Fabbri will oversee the action, with an average issuance of 0.4 red cards per game.

Given the stakes and the form, a close contest leans towards Juventus for the win. Recommended bet: Juventus to win.

Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction & Betting tip

Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Juventus to win	2.19

• Juventus are the bookmaker favorites, currently ranked 4th in Serie A, and have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
• Historical results favor less than 2.5 goals being scored in 78% of their last 9 matchups.
• Fiorentina’s top scorer, Moise Kean, will be up against a solid Juventus defense that has kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games.

Given these points, Juventus looks strong for the win, but it won’t be easy, considering Fiorentina’s home advantage and the team’s need to secure European spots.

Fiorentina vs Juventus Odds

Fiorentina vs Juventus Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Fiorentina	3.50
Draw	3.17
Juventus	2.19

Juventus are the bookmakers’ favorites for this encounter, reflecting their slightly higher league position and recent form. However, with Fiorentina playing at home and eager to climb up the standings, the match remains open to different outcomes.

Expect a tight contest given the historical precedent of low-scoring affairs between these teams, with fewer than 2.5 goals scored in 78% of their last 9 meetings.

Fiorentina Team Analysis

Fiorentina Recent Performance

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Fiorentina	Panathinaikos	2025-03-13	Conference League	3-1 (Win)
SSC Napoli	Fiorentina	2025-03-09	Serie A	2-1 (Loss)
Panathinaikos	Fiorentina	2025-03-06	Conference League	3-2 (Loss)
Fiorentina	Lecce	2025-02-28	Serie A	1-0 (Win)
Verona	Fiorentina	2025-02-23	Serie A	1-0 (Loss)

Fiorentina has experienced a mixed bag of results lately, clinching two wins and suffering three losses. Their recent performances have seen them averaging 1.40 goals per game but maintaining only one clean sheet in their last five matches. Notably, their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding several goals in both domestic and European competitions.

With 45 points and sitting in 8th place, Fiorentina will be looking to leverage their home advantage at Artemio Franchi to pull off a crucial win and close the gap on the teams above.

Fiorentina Key Players

Fiorentina’s main attacking threat comes from Moise Kean, who has netted 15 goals this season, making him the club’s top scorer. Kean will be looking to exploit any gaps in Juventus’ defense, especially with their current form under scrutiny.
In midfield, the combination of veteran Rolando Mandragora and the youthful exuberance of Nicolò Fagioli can provide a balanced approach to both attacking play and defensive duties.
Defensively, David De Gea will be crucial between the sticks, aiming for another clean sheet against a formidable Juventus attack led by Randal Kolo Muani.

Expected lineup for Fiorentina:

• Goalkeeper: David De Gea
• Defenders: Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari Villar, Luca Ranieri
• Midfielders: Dodo, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolò Fagioli, Robin Gosens
• Attackers: Moise Kean, Albert Gudmundsson

Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries

Fiorentina is facing a couple of injury challenges ahead of their clash with Juventus. Here’s the current status:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Edoardo Bove	Heart problems	Unknown
Andrea Colpani	Foot injury	Late March 2025

Fiorentina will miss the presence of Andrea Colpani in midfield, whose return is anticipated towards the end of March. The absence of Edoardo Bove is also a concern, though the exact timeline for his return remains uncertain.

Both injuries may impact Fiorentina’s depth and squad rotation, particularly against a strong opponent like Juventus. Raffaele Palladino might have to strategize differently to compensate for these key absences.

Fiorentina Tactics and Formation

Fiorentina Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Moise Kean
• Midfield Trio: Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolò Fagioli
• Defensive Structure: Three at the back with Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari Villar, and Luca Ranieri

Manager Raffaele Palladino is expected to deploy a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on a balanced approach between attack and defense.

Moise Kean, Fiorentina’s top scorer with 15 goals, will lead the charge upfront, with support from Albert Gudmundsson on the flanks.

In midfield, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, and Nicolò Fagioli will aim to dominate possession and create opportunities.

Defensively, Marin Pongračić and Pablo Mari Villar will be crucial in shielding goalkeeper David De Gea.

Fiorentina may need to adjust their formation slightly due to injuries, but the focus will be on maintaining a solid defensive structure while utilizing their speed on the wings.

Juventus Team Analysis

Juventus Recent Performance

Juventus have experienced a variety of results lately, highlighting both their weaknesses and strengths. With 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches, consistency has been elusive for Thiago Motta’s side. Here’s a closer look at their recent fixtures:

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Juventus	Atalanta	2025-03-09	Serie A	0-4 (Loss)
Juventus	Verona	2025-03-03	Serie A	2-0 (Win)
Juventus	Empoli	2025-02-26	Coppa Italia	1-1 (Loss on pens)
Cagliari	Juventus	2025-02-23	Serie A	0-1 (Win)
PSV Eindhoven	Juventus	2025-02-19	Champions League	2-1 (Loss)

Recent form: LLLWW
Juventus have managed to score an average of 1.40 goals in their last five games while keeping two clean sheets. Despite their heavy 0-4 loss against Atalanta, they bounced back with a solid 2-0 victory over Verona. Their performances in cup competitions have been less convincing, culminating in a penalty shootout loss to Empoli. The team’s defense, although having a decent record, needs to tighten up to avoid further slip-ups.

Juventus Key Players

Juventus will be relying heavily on some standout performers as they look to secure a crucial win. Dusan Vlahovic, with 9 goals this season, will be pivotal in the attack. He is complemented by Randal Kolo Muani, who has shown potential in leading the line. Midfield dynamo Manuel Locatelli and the versatile Khephren Thuram offer both defensive stability and offensive support. In defence, Timothy Weah and Andrea Cambiaso will need to be at their best to handle Fiorentina’s attacks.

Expected lineup for Juventus:

• Goalkeeper: Michele Di Gregorio
• Defenders: Timothy Weah, Pierre Kalulu, Federico Gatti, Andrea Cambiaso
• Midfielders: Khephren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli, Kenan Yildiz, Weston McKennie, Nicolas Gonzalez
• Forward: Randal Kolo Muani

Key battles to watch: Vlahovic vs De Gea and Kolo Muani vs Fiorentina’s backline will be decisive.

Juventus Suspensions & Injuries

Juventus is dealing with several injury concerns that could impact their squad depth and performance in the upcoming match. Notably, they have no players suspended for this fixture.
Injuries:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Arkadiusz Milik	Meniscus injury	Late March 2025
Bremer	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Juan Cabal	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Douglas Luiz	Thigh injury	Late March 2025

These injuries deprive Juventus of crucial depth, especially in defense with Bremer and Cabal both out for the rest of the season.
Arkadiusz Milik’s absence removes an experienced attacking option, while Douglas Luiz’s injury means less stability and creativity in midfield. These factors might test Juventus’s squad depth as they aim to secure a favorable result against Fiorentina.

Juventus Tactics and Formation

Juventus Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Randal Kolo Muani
• Midfield Duo: Khéphren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli
• Defensive Setup: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong attack during the 76-90-minute interval, where they often score most of their goals

Thiago Motta’s side prefers a compact defensive setup with Locatelli and Thuram protecting the back four.
Offensively, Juventus looks to exploit width, with Kenan Yildiz and Nicolas Gonzalez providing pace and creativity on the wings. McKennie’s role as an attacking midfielder offers late runs into the box to support Kolo Muani.
The team will rely on their ability to strike late in the game, an approach that has served them well this season.

Fiorentina vs Juventus Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Juventus	Fiorentina	2024-12-29	Serie A	2-2 (Draw)
Juventus	Fiorentina	2024-04-07	Serie A	1-0 (Win)
Fiorentina	Juventus	2023-11-05	Serie A	0-1 (Loss)
Juventus	Fiorentina	2023-02-12	Serie A	1-0 (Win)
Fiorentina	Juventus	2022-09-03	Serie A	1-1 (Draw)

These past encounters showcase a competitive edge between the two teams, with Juventus slightly dominating the fixture given their three wins in the last five matches. Two out of these five games ended in draws, underlining the closely contested nature of this rivalry.

Odds accurate as of 14.03.2025 17:01, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.