Empoli vs. Roma Prediction - Serie A Fixtures - bettingexpert

Welcome to the Stadio Carlo Castellani, where Empoli hosts Roma in an intriguing Serie A encounter on 9 March 2025 at 17:00. Empoli, currently sitting 18th in the standings with 22 points, has been struggling this season and faces a slew of injuries that weaken their lineup significantly.

Roma, on the other hand, find themselves in 8th place with 43 points and are on an impressive unbeaten streak in Serie A in 2025. Claudio Ranieri’s men have shown their offensive prowess, averaging 2.40 goals per match in their last five games.

Referee Marco Di Bello will oversee the action, and despite Empoli’s home ground advantage, the odds favor Roma for an away win, given their current form and Empoli’s defensive vulnerabilities.

With a high-scoring Roma boasting 9 goals in their last 5 matches and Empoli’s shaky defence conceding 15, everything points to a solid performance from the visitors. Our prediction: Roma to continue their unbeaten run with a win at Empoli.

Empoli vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tip

Based on current form and available match data, our recommended betting tip is an away win for Roma.
Roma are currently on an unbeaten streak in 2025 and have shown immense offensive strength with an average of 2.40 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Considering Empoli’s recent defensive struggles, Roma looks set to capitalize on this.

Empoli vs Roma Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Away win for Roma	1.97

• Roma have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, highlighting their attacking prowess.
• Empoli’s defense has conceded 15 goals in their last 5 games, showing significant vulnerabilities.
• Empoli is dealing with several injuries, weakening their already struggling lineup.

Empoli vs Roma Odds

With Roma as the favorites, the odds reflect their strong form and Empoli’s defensive challenges.

Empoli vs Roma Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Empoli	3.84
Draw	3.41
Roma	1.97

Roma have shown attacking prowess, scoring nine goals in their last five matches, which contributes to their favorable odds. Empoli, on the other hand, have struggled defensively, conceding 15 goals over the same period. Considering these factors, betting on a Roma win seems a sensible option for this encounter.

Empoli Team Analysis

Empoli Recent Performance

Empoli has been struggling to find their form recently, with only one win in their last five matches. Their recent performances have highlighted significant defensive vulnerabilities, conceding a total of 15 goals during this period.

Home team	Away team	Result
Genoa	Empoli	1-1 (Draw)
Juventus	Empoli	1-1 (Penalties win: 2-4)
Empoli	Atalanta	0-5 (Loss)
Udinese	Empoli	3-0 (Loss)
Empoli	AC Milan	0-2 (Loss)
Recent Form: WDLLL

In terms of goals, Empoli has averaged 1.20 goals per match in their last five outings. However, their inability to keep a clean sheet has been a critical issue, further exacerbated by numerous injuries impacting their lineup.

Empoli Key Players

Empoli’s key player to watch is undoubtedly Sebastiano Esposito, the team’s top scorer with 8 goals this season. His offensive prowess will be crucial if Empoli aims to breach Roma’s defense.
In midfield, Youssef Maleh and Alberto Grassi will need to step up, both in terms of providing offensive support and maintaining control against Roma’s midfield strength.
Given Empoli’s recent injury woes, players like Lorenzo Colombo and Liam Henderson must take on additional responsibilities to bolster the attack.
Empoli’s Expected lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Marco Silvestri
• Defenders: Saba Goglichidze, Luca Marianucci, Giuseppe Pezzella
• Midfielders: Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, Alberto Grassi, Youssef Maleh, Liberato Cacace
• Attackers: Sebastiano Esposito, Liam Henderson, Lorenzo Colombo
  Watch out for individual battles, especially Esposito against Roma’s central defenders.

Empoli Suspensions & Injuries

Empoli is dealing with a significant number of injuries that could heavily impact their performance against Roma. Here’s a detailed look at their current injury list:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Tyronne Ebuehi	Cruciate ligament injury	Unknown
Saba Sazonov	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Nicolas Haas	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Pietro Pellegri	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Ola Solbakken	Shoulder injury	Doubtful
Faustino Anjorin	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Jacopo Fazzini	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Mattia Viti	Knee injury	Late March 2025
Ardian Ismajli	Physical discomfort	Doubtful

These injuries severely weaken Empoli’s defensive and midfield lineup, making it challenging for coach Roberto D’Aversa to field a robust squad. With key players sidelined, the team will need to rely heavily on their available players to step up and fill the gaps. Expect adaptation and shuffling in the lineup as D’Aversa tries to mitigate the impact of these absences.

Empoli Tactics and Formation

Empoli Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Lorenzo Colombo
• Midfield Setup: Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, Alberto Grassi, Youssef Maleh, Liberato Cacace
• Defensive Lineup: Saba Goglichidze, Luca Marianucci, Giuseppe Pezzella
• Notable Strategy: Focus on a possession-based game with quick transitions.

Empoli’s approach in their recent games indicates a 3-4-2-1 formation. The emphasis has been on maintaining a robust midfield presence to compensate for their defensive vulnerabilities. Lorenzo Colombo spearheads the attack, supported by Sebastiano Esposito and Liam Henderson, who operate as advanced midfielders to create scoring opportunities. In midfield, Grassi and Maleh look to control play, while Gyasi and Cacace provide width and defensive support. Expect Roberto D’Aversa’s team to adapt strategically, given their injury-plagued defense, potentially relying on high pressing and quick counter-attacks to surprise Roma.

Roma Team Analysis

Roma Recent Performance

Roma has been in stellar form, boasting an unbeaten streak in their last five games. Their recent results highlight their dominance, especially with three consecutive wins at home. Here’s a quick look at their last five matches:

Home team	Away team	Result
Roma	Athletic Club	2-1 (Win)
Roma	Como	2-1 (Win)
Roma	Monza	4-0 (Win)
Roma	FC Porto	3-2 (Win)
Parma Calcio 1913	Roma	0-1 (Win)

Roma scored an average of 2.4 goals per game in this period and kept two clean sheets. Their offensive strength is evident, with 9 goals in the last 5 matches. Conceding only once per game on average over the season, their defence has also shown resilience. This consistency sets them up as favourites, especially against an injury-ridden Empoli side.

Roma Key Players

Roma’s squad is brimming with talent, and their key players will undoubtedly play a significant role in this match.
Expected lineup for Roma:

• Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
• Defenders: Devyne Rensch, Mats Hummels, Evan N’Dicka
• Midfielders: Alexis Saelemaekers, Manu Koné, Leandro Paredes, Angeliño
• Attackers: Matias Soule, Stephan El Shaarawy, Eldor Shomurodov

Top scorer Artem Dovbyk, with 9 goals this season, will be a central figure, aiming to exploit Empoli’s defensive vulnerabilities. Stephan El Shaarawy, another key attacker, is expected to create scoring opportunities, while Mats Hummels will anchor the defense in Mancini’s absence.

Look out for intriguing individual battles, like Roma’s attacking trio against Empoli’s shaky backline. These key encounters could very well decide the outcome of the match.

Roma Suspensions & Injuries

Roma will enter this match without the services of Gianluca Mancini, who is suspended due to yellow card accumulation. This comes at an inconvenient time for the club, especially as they try to push back into the top four. Here’s the current status of injuries and suspensions:

Suspensions:

Player	Suspension	Expected return
Gianluca Mancini	Yellow cards	One match left

Mancini’s absence might be felt in their defence, but the presence of veteran Mats Hummels will be crucial in stabilizing the backline.

Injuries:
Roma have no reported injuries at this time.

Despite Mancini’s suspension, Roma’s depth and overall squad quality should compensate, maintaining their defensive solidity. With alternatives like Devyne Rensch and Mats Hummels available, Roma’s tactical flexibility remains largely intact.

Roma Tactics and Formation

Roma’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Eldor Shomurodov
• Midfield Four: Alexis Saelemaekers, Manu Koné, Leandro Paredes, Angeliño
• Defensive Structure: Devyne Rensch, Mats Hummels, Evan N’Dicka

Under Claudio Ranieri, Roma showcases an attacking mindset complemented by a robust midfield and a reliable defense. With Shomurodov leading the line, supported by attacking midfielders Matias Soule and Stephan El Shaarawy, they are a force to be reckoned with.

Roma’s defense, despite Gianluca Mancini’s suspension, remains strong with Mats Hummels marshalling the back. Their tendency to concede goals between the 31-45 minute mark is a weak point, yet their average of 1.1 goals conceded per game underscores their overall stability.

Strategically, Roma focuses on maintaining possession and building play from the back, leveraging their midfield’s dynamism to create scoring opportunities. This blend of tactical strength and individual skill makes them a formidable opponent for Empoli.

Empoli vs Roma Head-to-Head Statistics

Home	Away	Result
Roma	Empoli	1-2
Empoli	Roma	2-1
Roma	Empoli	7-0
Roma	Empoli	2-0
Empoli	Roma	1-2

Roma and Empoli have faced off five times recently, with Roma winning three of these encounters, including a significant 7-0 victory. However, Empoli clinched two crucial wins in their last two meetings, which could boost their confidence heading into this match.

Roma remains the favorite, thanks to their current unbeaten streak, but Empoli’s past successes against them shouldn’t be overlooked.

Odds accurate as of 07/03/2025 17:04, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.