Genoa vs. Empoli Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 2 March 2025 - bettingexpert
Genoa will host Empoli at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in a critical Serie A clash on 2 March 2025 at 14:00. Genoa, standing 12th in the league, have shown decent form under Patrick Vieira, with recent victories over Venezia and Monza. They are looking to consolidate their mid-table position.
Empoli, on the other hand, are struggling in 18th place and have failed to win in their last 11 league matches. Roberto D’Aversa’s squad has been plagued by injuries and is desperate for points to avoid relegation.
The bookmakers favour Genoa, and with good reason. Our tip is to back Genoa for a win, as they have won their last three home games consecutively and previously beat Empoli 2-1 away.
Genoa vs Empoli Prediction & Betting Tip
For the upcoming Serie A match between Genoa and Empoli, our recommended betting tip is to back Genoa to secure a victory. This recommendation is based on Genoa’s stronger form, home advantage, and Empoli’s ongoing struggles.
| Genoa vs Empoli Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Genoa to win | 2.00 |
| <br><br> |
- Genoa has won their last three home games consecutively, showcasing a solid home performance.
- Empoli are in poor form, having lost their last four league matches in a row.
- Genoa previously won against Empoli 2-1 away in their last encounter, boosting their confidence.
With these aspects in mind, backing Genoa for a win seems like the safest bet.
Genoa vs Empoli Odds
Considering the upcoming clash at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, the odds heavily favor the home team, Genoa. They are seen as the bookmakers’ favorites due to their recent solid performances, especially at home. Here’s a breakdown of the betting odds for this match:
| Genoa vs Empoli Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Genoa | 1.94 |
| Draw | 3.21 |
| Empoli | 4.28 |
| <br><br> | |
| Genoa’s strong home form and Empoli’s ongoing struggles are reflected in these odds. With Genoa winning their last three home games and Empoli failing to secure a win in their last four league matches, this betting market seems quite justifiable. | |
| Backing Genoa might be the safer bet here given their current form and Empoli’s poor recent performance. |
Genoa Team Analysis
Genoa Recent Performance
Genoa’s recent form in Serie A has been a mix of highs and lows, but they’ve shown resilience, especially at home. Let’s take a look at their last five matches:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Inter | Genoa | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Genoa | Venezia | 2-0 (Win) |
| Torino | Genoa | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Fiorentina | Genoa | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Genoa | Monza | 2-0 (Win) |
Genoa has scored an average of 1.20 goals in their last five games and managed to keep 2 clean sheets. With Patrick Vieira at the helm, they are a solid mid-table team aiming to climb higher in the standings. Given Empoli’s struggles, Genoa will look to capitalize on their home advantage this weekend.
Genoa Key Players
Genoa’s key players will be crucial in this matchup against Empoli, with particular focus on their top scorer Andrea Pinamonti, who has netted 8 goals this season. The team will rely heavily on his ability to find the back of the net to maintain their recent home form.
In midfield, Fabio Miretti and Junior Messias are expected to control the tempo, while Morten Frendrup’s defensive capabilities will be pivotal in breaking up Empoli’s attacks.
Defensively, Mattia Bani and Johan Vásquez will anchor the backline, supported by Aaron Martin and Koni De Winter as fullbacks.
Expected lineup for Genoa:
- Goalkeeper: Nicola Leali
- Defenders: Koni De Winter, Mattia Bani, Johan Vásquez, Aaron Martin
- Midfielders: Morten Frendrup, Junior Messias, Milan Badelj
- Forwards: Maxwel Cornet, Andrea Pinamonti, Fabio Miretti
Genoa Suspensions & Injuries
Genoa is dealing with a few key injuries that might impact their performance against Empoli. Here’s the current injury list:
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Honest Ahanor | Meniscus injury | Mid March 2025 |
| Morten Thorsby | Calf injury | Mid March 2025 |
| Vitinha | Muscle injury | Mid March 2025 |
The absence of midfielders Honest Ahanor and Morten Thorsby could unsettle Genoa’s midfield balance. Meanwhile, the injury to Vitinha affects their options upfront. Patrick Vieira will need to rely on his available squad depth to maintain Genoa’s competitive edge.
Genoa Tactics and Formation
Genoa Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Andrea Pinamonti
- Midfield Trio: Morten Frendrup, Junior Messias, Milan Badelj
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
Genoa, under Patrick Vieira’s management, typically sets up in a 4-3-3 formation with a focus on maintaining a solid defensive base and creating opportunities for their star striker, Andrea Pinamonti, who has netted eight goals this season.
On the wings, Maxwel Cornet and Fabio Miretti add pace and creativity, stretching the opposition’s defence and providing crucial assists. The midfield trio of Frendrup, Messias, and Badelj ensures both defensive cover and ball progression, with Badelj anchoring the midfield.
This balanced approach has seen Genoa win three consecutive home games, demonstrating their tactical flexibility and resilience.
Empoli Team Analysis
Empoli Recent Performance
Empoli have been struggling recently, with a tough run of form that has seen them lose four out of their last five games. In their recent performances, they managed to score an average of 1.20 goals per game but failed to keep any clean sheets.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus | Empoli | 1-1 (Penalty shoot-out: 2-4) |
| Empoli | Atalanta | 0-5 (Loss) |
| Udinese | Empoli | 3-0 (Loss) |
| Empoli | AC Milan | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Juventus | Empoli | 4-1 (Loss) |
Their last five results sequence stands at WLLLL. Despite the goal-scoring contributions from Sebastiano Esposito, who has 8 goals this season, their defensive vulnerabilities have been highlighted, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match.
Empoli will need to elevate their game and iron out their defensive issues to turn their season around and climb out of the relegation zone.
Empoli Key Players
Empoli’s key player this season has undoubtedly been Sebastiano Esposito, who has netted 8 goals so far. Esposito’s goal-scoring abilities will be crucial if Empoli is to turn its fortunes around. The young forward Lorenzo Colombo is also expected to provide a significant threat up front with his dynamic play.
Expected lineup for Empoli:
- Goalkeeper: Marco Silvestri
- Defenders: Saba Goglichidze, Ardian Ismajli, Luca Marianucci
- Midfielders: Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, Liam Henderson, Alberto Grassi, Liberato Cacace, Giuseppe Pezzella
- Attackers: Sebastiano Esposito, Lorenzo Colombo
The midfield duel between Empoli’s Liam Henderson and Genoa’s Junior Messias could also prove pivotal in controlling the game’s tempo. Empoli’s defense, led by Ardian Ismajli, will have its hands full containing Genoa’s top scorer Andrea Pinamonti.
Empoli Suspensions & Injuries
Empoli’s squad is currently facing a challenging situation with multiple injuries. This may significantly impact their performance as they look to climb out of the relegation zone.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Tyronne Ebuehi | Cruciate ligament injury | Unknown |
| Saba Sazonov | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Nicolas Haas | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Pietro Pellegri | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Ola Solbakken | Shoulder injury | Doubtful |
| Faustino Anjorin | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Jacopo Fazzini | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Mattia Viti | Knee injury | Late March 2025 |
These injuries mean that Empoli will be without several key players, especially in defense and midfield. The absence of players like Tyronne Ebuehi and Nicolas Haas could leave significant gaps that Genoa might exploit. Additionally, Roberto D’Aversa will need to rely on his squad depth to fill these voids.
Empoli Tactics and Formation
Empoli are expected to adopt a 3-4-2-1 formation for their upcoming clash against Genoa. Here’s a tactical breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forwards: Sebastiano Esposito and Lorenzo Colombo, both crucial for their attacking prowess.
- Midfield Composition: Liam Henderson and Alberto Grassi anchor the midfield with support from wide midfielders Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi and Giuseppe Pezzella.
- Defensive Setup: A back three led by Ardian Ismajli, along with Saba Goglichidze and Luca Marianucci.
- Notable Strategy: Despite their defensive struggles, Empoli often look to exploit the 31-45-minute interval, where they have scored most of their goals this season.
- Challenges: With numerous key injuries, especially in defense, Roberto D’Aversa will need to rely on squad depth and hope their attack can capitalize on Genoa’s defensive lapses.
Genoa vs Empoli Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli | Genoa | 1-2 |
| Empoli | Genoa | 0-0 |
| Genoa | Empoli | 1-1 |
| Genoa | Empoli | 0-0 |
| Empoli | Genoa | 2-2 |
In their last five meetings, Genoa have managed to secure one victory, while the other four encounters ended in draws.
Genoa’s recent win on December 28, 2024, could give them a psychological edge going into this game. However, the consistent draws between these teams indicate a well-matched contest.
Odds accurate as of 28th February 2025 14:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
