Fiorentina vs. Como Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 February 2025 - bettingexpert
Fiorentina will take on Como in a crucial Serie A matchup at the Artemio Franchi on 16 February 2025. This game holds significant implications as Fiorentina aims to cement their position in the top six, while Como struggles to stay clear of the relegation zone.
Currently, Fiorentina sit in 6th place with 42 points, showcasing decent form with three wins in their last five matches (LWWWD). Their home form makes them the bookmakers’ favourite with odds of 1.95 to win. Como, on the other hand, is languishing in 16th place with 22 points, having lost four of their last five matches (LLLWL). They’ve had a torrid time away from home.
The absence of Fiorentina’s top striker, Moise Kean, due to suspension could be a setback, but Lucas Beltrán is expected to step up in his place. Defensively, David De Gea has been exceptional, with his form catching the eye of many top clubs. For Como, star forward Patrick Cutrone will be key in their attack.
Expect a competitive match with Fiorentina holding the edge. Our bet recommendation is for Fiorentina to win, considering their home advantage and recent form.
Fiorentina vs Como Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip for this matchup is a Fiorentina win. This recommendation is based on Fiorentina’s recent form, their strong home record, and Como’s struggles on the road.
| Fiorentina vs Como Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Fiorentina to Win | 2.01 |
- Fiorentina have garnered 10 points from their last 5 games, highlighting their solid form.
- Como have the second-worst away record in Serie A, making it tough for them to pull off an upset.
- Despite Dante De Gea’s consistent performances, the absence of Moise Kean is less likely to impact Fiorentina’s overall strength on home turf.
The stats favor Fiorentina, making them the safer bet. Expect a competitive game, but Fiorentina’s home advantage and recent momentum should see them through.
Fiorentina vs Como Odds
In this intriguing encounter, the bookmakers have tipped Fiorentina as the favourites.
| Fiorentina vs Como Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Fiorentina | 1.95 |
| Draw | 3.53 |
| Como | 3.76 |
Fiorentina’s solid standing in 6th place and home advantage at the Artemio Franchi lend support to their favorite status. Como, on the other hand, sits in 16th place and has a challenging away record, which is reflected in the longer odds provided. Thus, a Fiorentina win offers the most attractive bet for punters.
Fiorentina Team Analysis
Fiorentina Recent Performance
Fiorentina have been in fine form recently, securing 10 points from their last five league matches. Their recent results illustrate their consistency and resilience:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Inter | Fiorentina | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Fiorentina | Inter | 3-0 (Win) |
| Fiorentina | Genoa | 2-1 (Win) |
| Lazio | Fiorentina | 1-2 (Win) |
| Fiorentina | Torino | 1-1 (Draw) |
Recent Form: LWWWD
Fiorentina have averaged 1.80 goals per game over the last five matches while maintaining one clean sheet. Their ability to bounce back from setbacks, such as the loss to Inter, exemplifies their strong form heading into the match against Como. With key players contributing effectively and the team showing attacking vigor, Fiorentina are poised to continue their impressive run.
Fiorentina Key Players
Fiorentina’s key players have been pivotal in their strong performances this season. Moise Kean, currently serving a suspension, has been a standout with 15 Serie A goals, attracting attention from top clubs like Arsenal. However, Lucas Beltrán will lead the attack in Kean’s absence, and his ability to find the net will be crucial.
David De Gea, the exceptional goalkeeper, has been solid between the posts, showing leadership and experience, which Como is reportedly eyeing for the next season.
Expected lineup for Fiorentina:
- Goalkeeper: David De Gea
- Defenders: Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens
- Midfielders: Rolando Mandragora, Nicolò Fagioli, Nicolò Zaniolo, Albert Gudmundsson, Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho
- Attackers: Lucas Beltrán
Key individual battles will include Fiorentina’s attackers against Como’s defenders, with Zaniolo and Gudmundsson expected to press hard on the flanks.
Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries
Fiorentina is facing a few key absences due to injuries and suspensions, which could impact their performance against Como.
Suspensions:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Moise Kean | Yellow cards | Next match |
Moise Kean, Fiorentina’s top scorer, is suspended for this match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. His absence will be felt in the attacking lineup.
Injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Edoardo Bove | Heart problems | Unknown |
| Pablo Mari Villar | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Yacine Adli | Ankle injury | Doubtful |
Midfield options such as Edoardo Bove, Pablo Mari Villar, and Yacine Adli are also out with injuries, which might reduce the team’s depth in the middle of the park. These absences place added pressure on the squad to maintain their form and secure a win.
Fiorentina Tactics and Formation
Fiorentina Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Lucas Beltrán (in Moise Kean’s absence)
- Midfield Duo: Rolando Mandragora, Nicolò Fagioli
- Wide Threats: Nicolò Zaniolo, Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho
- Defensive Line: Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens
With Moise Kean suspended, Raffaele Palladino will rely on Lucas Beltrán as the focal point in attack. The creative trio of Zaniolo, Gudmundsson, and Folorunsho will be tasked with feeding Beltrán and creating chances.
Mandragora and Fagioli will operate as holding midfielders, providing defensive cover and facilitating the transition from defense to attack.
The full-backs, Dodo and Gosens, are expected to contribute offensively by overlapping with the wingers to add width and deliver crosses into the box. This formation allows Fiorentina to maintain balance while exploiting gaps in Como’s defense.
Como Team Analysis
Como Recent Performance
Como have been struggling to find consistent form in recent matches.
Their last five results paint a somber picture of their current woes:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Como | Juventus | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Bologna | Como | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Como | Atalanta | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Como | Udinese | 4-1 (Win) |
| Como | AC Milan | 1-2 (Loss) |
Como have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game during this period but failed to keep a clean sheet. Despite the losses, they did secure a resounding victory against Udinese, showcasing some potential.
With 22 points and sitting in 16th place, Como need to tighten up their defense and capitalize on their scoring chances to climb out of the lower regions of the Serie A table.
Como Key Players
Expected lineup for Como:
- Goalkeeper: Jean Butez
- Defenders: Ivan Smolčić, Edoardo Goldaniga, Alberto Dossena, Álex Valle
- Midfielders: Máximo Perrone, Lucas Da Cunha, Nico Paz, Assane Diao, Gabriel Strefezza
- Center forward: Patrick Cutrone
Patrick Cutrone is the top scorer for Como, having netted six goals this season. His form in front of the goal will be crucial for Como, especially in an away fixture against a sturdy Fiorentina defense.
Midfielders like Lucas Da Cunha and Máximo Perrone will need to exert control in the middle, while Gabriel Strefezza on the wings could create crucial chances.
The battle between Cutrone and Fiorentina’s defenders, like Luca Ranieri and Pietro Comuzzo, will be key in shaping the match’s outcome.
Como Suspensions & Injuries
Como have a few key absences for this match, which could significantly impact their performance.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Mergim Vojvoda | Muscle injury | Late February 2025 |
| Alessandro Gabrielloni | Muscle injury | Late February 2025 |
| Alberto Moreno | Muscle injury | Late February 2025 |
| Marc Oliver Kempf | Back injury | Late February 2025 |
| Iván Azón | Muscle injury | Late February 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected Return |
| ———— | ———— | ——————- |
| Alieu Fadera | Red card | 1 match left |
With several players sidelined due to injury and Alieu Fadera suspended, Como’s squad depth will be tested. These absences particularly affect their defensive and midfield options, which could make it challenging to hold off Fiorentina’s attack. The absence of Fadera reduces their scoring threat up front, placing additional pressure on Patrick Cutrone to deliver.
Como Tactics and Formation
Como’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Patrick Cutrone
- Midfield Trio: Maximo Perrone, Lucas Da Cunha, Nico Paz
- Defensive Line: Ivan Smolcic, Edoardo Goldaniga, Alberto Dossena, Álex Valle
- Goalkeeping Duties: Jean Butez
Como’s preferred formation for this match appears to be a 4-2-3-1, with Patrick Cutrone leading the attack. The creative responsibilities will fall on Nico Paz, supported by wingers Gabriel Strefezza and Assane Diao. Defensively, the team will rely heavily on their back four to hold off Fiorentina’s potent attack.
Given their injuries and suspensions, Como will need to be compact and disciplined, aiming to exploit counter-attacks.
Fiorentina vs Como Head-to-Head Statistics
Here’s a look at the previous encounters between Fiorentina and Como:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Como | Fiorentina | 0-2 |
| Fiorentina | Como | 3-0 |
| Como | Fiorentina | 0-2 |
| Fiorentina | Como | 1-0 |
| Fiorentina | Como | 0-2 |
In their last five meetings, Fiorentina has come out on top in four, showcasing their dominance over Como.
Expect another competitive match, given Fiorentina’s home advantage and Como’s need to pull out a surprise result.
Odds are accurate as of 14th February 2025 11:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
