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Colombia vs Chile Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips

Colombia-Chile
World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL
Fulltime
ColombiaColombia
4 - 0
ChileChile
(HT 1-0)

Colombia currently sits in second place with 16 points. However, they will be keen to bounce back after a surprising loss to Bolivia, which ended their impressive 31-match unbeaten streak. With key players like Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez leading the line, Colombia is favored to dominate against a struggling Chilean side.

Chile, positioned last with just five points, desperately needs a turnaround. Having not won in their last six matches, coach Ricardo Gareca faces an uphill task to spearhead a revival.

The odds favor Colombia significantly, and our recommended betting tip is a victory for Colombia with a -1.25 Asian Handicap at odds of 2.25. Expect Colombia to win comfortably as Chile struggles with form and consistency.

Colombia vs Chile Prediction & Betting Tip

Given the current form and statistics, our recommended betting tip for this game is a Colombia -1.25 Asian Handicap.

  • Reason: Colombia is significantly favored due to their b performance this season, currently sitting 2nd with 16 points, while Chile is at the bottom of the table, struggling to find form and wins.
  • Colombia’s b home advantage: With a solid defensive record (on average conceding only 0.7 goals per match this season) and their position as the bookmaker’s favorite.
  • Chile’s poor form: Chile has lost their last 3 matches and has not won in their last 6, making them a prime candidate for a defeat.
  • Colombia’s key players: The likes of Luis Diaz, who is the top scorer for Colombia, and James Rodriguez are expected to exploit Chile’s defensive weaknesses.
Colombia's James Rodriguez

Colombia’s James Rodriguez(AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)

Colombia vs Chile Odds

With this crucial World Cup Qualifier match on the horizon, bookmakers have expressed b confidence in Colombia’s ability to secure a win. The odds make for an interesting read:

Colombia vs. Chile Betting Odds
Colombia 1.37
Draw 4.41
Chile 9.60

Colombia Team Analysis

Colombia’s recent form in the World Cup Qualifiers showcases a mix of results. They have won two of their last five matches, keeping only one clean sheet and scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game. Despite a recent setback against Bolivia, which ended their impressive 31-match unbeaten streak, they remain in second place with 16 points.

Home team Away team Result
Bolivia Colombia 1-0 (Loss)
Colombia Argentina 2-1 (Win)
Peru Colombia 1-1 (Draw)
Argentina Colombia 1-0 (Loss)
Uruguay Colombia 0-1 (Win)

Colombia Key Players

Colombia will be heavily relying on their star winger Luis Diaz, who is the top scorer for the team with three goals. His pace and technical ability will be crucial in breaking down Chile’s defense.

James Rodriguez is another player to watch. As a creative midfielder, Rodriguez’s vision and passing could be key to unlocking the Chilean defense.

Expected lineup for Colombia:

  • Goalkeeper: Camilo Vargas
  • Defenders: Jhon Lucumi, Cristian Borja, Santiago Arias, Willer Ditta
  • Midfielders: James Rodriguez, Mateus Uribe, Luis Diaz, Kevin Castano, Jhon Arias
  • Forwards: Roger Martinez

The midfield battle, featuring Rodriguez and Uribe, might be pivotal for Colombia, while Diaz’s duel with Chile’s defense could decide the match’s outcome.

Colombia Suspensions & Injuries

Colombia enters the match with no suspensions, but they have a few key injuries that could influence their performance:

Player Injury Expected return
David Ospina Muscle injury Late October 2024
Rafael Borré Thigh injury Late October 2024
Carlos Cuesta Calf injury Late October 2024

Colombia Tactics and Formation

Colombia Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: Flexible, alternating between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1.
  • Key Forward: Roger Martinez, supported by wingers Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez.
  • Midfield Trio: Consists of James Rodriguez, Mateus Uribe, and Kevin Castano, who collectively control the pace and create chances.
  • Defensive Strength: Despite recent struggles, noteworthy for maintaining a b average of conceding only 0.7 goals per match this season. Notable Strategy:
  • Often aims to dominate possession and leverage speed on the wings, especially via Diaz.
  • Tends to press high and attack more aggressively after halftime, notably between the 46th and 60th minutes, capitalizing on opponent fatigue.

Expect Colombia to use their familiar formations to maintain pressure and secure a crucial win against Chile.

Chile Team Analysis

Chile’s form has been far from impressive, with a string of poor results underscoring their struggles. In their last five matches, Chile has only managed to secure one draw, suffering four losses. With an average of just 0.40 goals scored per game and only one clean sheet in their last five outings, the team has found it challenging to both score and defend effectively.

Home team Away team Result
Chile Brazil 1-2 (Loss)
Chile Bolivia 1-2 (Loss)
Argentina Chile 3-0 (Loss)
Canada Chile 0-0 (Draw)
Chile Argentina 0-1 (Loss)

Chile Key Players

Given Chile’s recent struggles, certain players will need to step up against Colombia. Eduardo Vargas, the team’s top scorer with two goals, will be crucial in spearheading the attack. He will likely be pivotal in breaking down Colombia’s defense. Additionally, midfielders like Diego Valdés and Rodrigo Echeverría are essential in controlling the game’s tempo and could make vital contributions in both defense and attack. Expected lineup for Chile:

  • Goalkeeper: Brayan Cortes
  • Defenders: Thomas Galdames, Guillermo Maripán, Felipe Loyola, Benjamín Kuscevic
  • Midfielders: Diego Valdés, Rodrigo Echeverría, Esteban Pavez
  • Attackers: Eduardo Vargas, Víctor Dávila, Darío Osorio

Chile Suspensions & Injuries

Chile faces several injury concerns ahead of their upcoming World Cup qualifier against Colombia, which might affect their team performance.

Player Injury Expected return
Igor Lichnovsky Knee surgery Late February 2025
Alexis Sanchez Thigh injury Late October 2024
Francisco Sierralta Muscle injury Late October 2024
Matias Catalan Cruciate ligament injury Out for season

Chile Tactics and Formation

Chile’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-3-3
  • Key Forward: Eduardo Vargas
  • Midfield Trio: Diego Valdes, Rodrigo Echeverria, Esteban Pavez
  • Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games

Notable Strategy: Chile averages 2.6 yellow cards in 9 matches this season, reflecting an aggressive defensive approach. Given their recent struggles and injury woes, Chile is likely to stick with the 4-3-3 formation. Eduardo Vargas remains the focal point in attack, tasked with breaking through Colombia’s defense. The midfield trio of Valdes, Echeverria, and Pavez provides stability, but their forwards need to convert chances more effectively to compensate for defensive vulnerabilities, especially with key defenders out injured.

Colombia vs Chile Head-to-Head Statistics

Here’s a look at how Colombia and Chile have fared against each other in their last five encounters:

Home Away Result
Chile Colombia 0-0
Colombia Chile 3-1
Chile Colombia 2-2
Colombia Chile 0-0
Colombia Chile 0-0 (Pen: 4-5)

Colombia has had the upper hand, remaining unbeaten in regular time over these matches. The 3-1 victory stands out as their most decisive win, with Luis Diaz expected to lead the charge again. Chile, though, has also managed to grind out draws, indicating their resilience in tough conditions.

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