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Cagliari vs. Monza Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips

Cagliari-Monza
Serie A
Fulltime
CagliariCagliari
3 - 0
MonzaMonza
(HT 0-0)

Get ready for an intriguing Serie A clash on 30 March 2025 as Cagliari, sitting 15th in the league, take on bottom-placed Monza at the Unipol Domus. With both teams desperate for points, this encounter could have significant repercussions on the battle to avoid relegation.

Cagliari, under Davide Nicola, come into this matchup with 26 points from 29 games. Despite their inconsistent form (LDLLD), they have shown defensive solidity at home, a crucial factor that makes them the bookmakers’ favourite. Monza, led by Alessandro Nesta, are struggling at the foot of the table with just 15 points and have been winless in their last nine matches.

Referee Francesco Fourneau will oversee proceedings, having a low average of red cards this season at 0.1 per game. Monza have a poor defensive record, conceding an average of 1.7 goals, and their injuries could further hamper their performance.

Given Cagliari’s home strength and Monza’s road struggles, the recommended bet is on a Cagliari win.

Expect a tough battle as both teams vie for survival in Serie A.

Cagliari vs Monza Prediction & Betting tip

Cagliari vs Monza Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Cagliari to win 1.69
  • Cagliari have shown defensive reliability at home, increasing their chances of securing all three points against a struggling Monza.
  • Monza have not won in their last nine matches and have a poor defensive record, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game this season.
  • With key players injured and their dismal away form, Monza face an uphill battle against a Cagliari side eager to distance itself from the relegation zone.

Cagliari vs Monza Odds

Cagliari vs Monza Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Cagliari to win 1.69
Draw 3.59
Monza to win 5.31

Cagliari enters this matchup as the bookmakers’ favorite, owing much to their better position in the table and home advantage. With odds of 1.69 to win, a bet on Cagliari looks promising given their defensive strength and Monza’s ongoing struggles.

Monza, sitting at the bottom of the table, has odds of 5.31 to pull off an upset – a testament to their challenging season. The odds for a draw stand at 3.59, reflecting a more balanced but less likely outcome.

Cagliari Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Cagliari have been struggling to find consistent form, as evidenced by their recent record of 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games. Their recent performance is a cause for concern as they seek to avoid the relegation zone.

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Roma Cagliari 2025-03-16 Serie A 1-0 (Loss)
Cagliari Genoa 2025-03-07 Serie A 1-1 (Draw)
Bologna Cagliari 2025-03-02 Serie A 2-1 (Loss)
Cagliari Juventus 2025-02-23 Serie A 0-1 (Loss)
Atalanta Cagliari 2025-02-15 Serie A 0-0 (Draw)

Cagliari have only managed to score 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.40 goals per game. Their defense has also shown vulnerability, keeping just one clean sheet during this period. The upcoming game will be crucial as they seek to improve their form and secure vital points.

Cagliari Key Players

Cagliari will be banking on their talisman Roberto Piccoli, their top scorer with 7 goals this season, to lead the charge in finding the back of the net. Piccoli’s positioning and finishing ability will be crucial, especially against Monza’s defense, led by Armando Izzo.

In midfield, Nicolas Viola will play a key role in setting up chances and driving forward with the ball. Viola’s experience and vision could unlock Monza’s backline, making him an essential component of Cagliari’s attacking strategies.

Expected lineup for Cagliari:

  • Goalkeeper: Elia Caprile
  • Defenders: Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto
  • Midfielders: Nadir Zortea, Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Alessandro Deiola, Tommaso Augello
  • Attacking midfielder: Nicolas Viola
  • Center forward: Roberto Piccoli

The battle between Piccoli and Izzo, as well as Viola against Monza’s midfield generals, will be key highlights of the match.

Cagliari Suspensions & Injuries

Player Injury Expected return
Adam Obert Hip injury Potential return doubtful

The injury to Adam Obert might impact Cagliari’s defensive options, especially if he is unable to return in time for the match. Obert’s absence leaves coach Davide Nicola needing to shuffle his defensive setup, possibly affecting the team’s overall stability at the back.

The team must be well-prepared to adapt to these changes, ensuring that defensive cohesion remains strong against Monza.

Cagliari Tactics and Formation

Cagliari Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-3-3
  • Key Forward: Roberto Piccoli
  • Midfield Trio: Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Alessandro Deiola
  • Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
  • Notable Strategy: High pressing and wing play through Nadir Zortea and Tommaso Augello.

Cagliari will likely stick to a 4-3-3 formation, aiming to leverage their width and quick transitions. The central midfield trio, led by Michel Adopo, plays a crucial role in maintaining possession and supplying forward passes to the wings and the lone striker, Roberto Piccoli.

With only one clean sheet in their last five games, defensive stability remains a concern, yet the presence of Yerry Mina at the back could provide the necessary experience to keep Monza at bay. Coach Davide Nicola will focus on maintaining a compact shape, especially during transitions, to prevent Monza from exploiting any gaps.

Monza Team Analysis

Monza Recent Performance

Monza are enduring a challenging run of form, reflected in their recent results. Their last five matches in Serie A have yielded three losses and two draws, leaving them in 20th position with just 15 points. Despite showing some resilience, they’ve struggled to convert defensive stability into victories.

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Monza Parma Calcio 1913 2025-03-15 Serie A 1-1 (Draw)
Inter Monza 2025-03-08 Serie A 3-2 (Loss)
Monza Torino 2025-03-02 Serie A 0-2 (Loss)
Roma Monza 2025-02-24 Serie A 4-0 (Loss)
Monza Lecce 2025-02-16 Serie A 0-0 (Draw)

Recent Form: DLLLD
With an average of 0.60 goals scored in their last five games, Monza’s offensive output has been below par. Defensively, they’ve managed just one clean sheet in this period, conceding 1.7 goals on average per match this season. Their struggle to find consistency on both ends of the pitch has seen them go nine consecutive matches without a win.

Monza Key Players

Monza’s standout players will be crucial in their fight to turn around their poor form. Dany Mota, their top scorer with 4 goals, will be central to their attacking hopes. His partnership with Keita BaldΓ©, who adds experience and flair to the forward line, could unsettle the Cagliari defense.

Expected lineup for Monza:

  • Goalkeeper: Stefano Turati
  • Defenders: Pedro Pereira, Armando Izzo, Danilo D’Ambrosio
  • Midfielders: Samuele Birindelli, Kevin Zeroli, Alessandro Bianco, Gaetano Castrovilli, Giorgos Kyriakopoulos
  • Forwards: Keita BaldΓ©, Dany Mota

Key individual battles include Mota against Yerry Mina, a duel which could decide Monza’s offensive success. Defensive linchpin Izzo will also be essential in keeping Roberto Piccoli at bay.

Monza Suspensions & Injuries

Player Injury Expected return
Luca Caldirola Hamstring Injury Doubtful
Stefano Sensi Thigh Injury Doubtful
Matteo Pessina Muscle Injury Doubtful
Andrea Carboni Muscle Injury Doubtful

Monza will be missing some key players due to injuries, affecting their squad depth and overall performance. The defence will particularly feel the absence of Luca Caldirola, while the midfield will lack the creativity and control usually provided by Stefano Sensi and Matteo Pessina. These injuries put additional pressure on the fit players to step up. Monza’s struggle to secure points over recent matches can be partly attributed to these significant absences.

Monza Tactics and Formation

Monza’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-5-2
  • Key Forwards: Keita BaldΓ©, Dany Mota
  • Midfield Support: Samuele Birindelli, Kevin Zeroli, Alessandro Bianco, Gaetano Castrovilli, Georgios Kyriakopoulos
  • Defensive Line: Pedro Pereira, Armando Izzo, Danilo D’Ambrosio
  • Goalkeeper: Stefano Turati

Monza are expected to line up in a 3-5-2 formation, focusing on robust midfield control to compensate for their recent struggles.
Keita BaldΓ© and Dany Mota will lead the attack, aiming to capitalize on any defensive lapses by Cagliari. The backline, anchored by experienced defenders Izzo and D’Ambrosio, will look to tighten up after recent struggles, bolstered by Turati in goal.
Their midfield will play a crucial role in breaking up Cagliari’s play and supporting the attack, particularly given the injuries they’re contending with.

Cagliari vs Monza Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Monza Cagliari 2025-01-05 Serie A 1-2 (Loss)
Monza Cagliari 2024-03-16 Serie A 1-0 (Loss)
Cagliari Monza 2023-11-26 Serie A 1-1 (Draw)
Monza Cagliari 2001-03-11 Serie Bwin 1-0 (Loss)
Cagliari Monza 2000-10-22 Serie Bwin 2-1 (Win)

Cagliari and Monza have clashed multiple times over the years, with recent encounters showing a mix of results. Their latest match saw Cagliari earn a 2-1 away victory in January 2025. Overall, out of their last five meetings, Cagliari secured two wins, while Monza grabbed two victories, with one match ending in a draw. These head-to-head stats highlight a relatively balanced history, although Cagliari’s recent away win could boost their confidence.

Odds accurate as of 28.03.2025 10:31, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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