Cagliari vs. Genoa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 7 March 2025 - bettingexpert

The 28th round of Serie A presents an intriguing clash as Cagliari plays host to Genoa at Unipol Domus. With referee Michael Fabbri overseeing the match, this fixture carries significance for both teams’ bids to avoid relegation and secure a more comfortable mid-table position.

Cagliari is currently 15th with 25 points, finding themselves in a precarious spot. They have struggled for form recently, managing only one win in their last five matches. Genoa, sitting in 12th with 31 points, is relatively safe but has been inconsistent, as seen in their last five games, which include a mix of draws, a win, and losses.

Both sides are dealing with injury issues, with Cagliari missing forward Zito Luvumbo and Genoa missing several key players, including Vitinha and Balotelli, though Malinovskyi and Badelj are expected to return.

Given the inconsistent form and multitude of player absences on both sides, a draw seems the most likely outcome. This is particularly pertinent as historical encounters between these teams often end in draws or narrow victories.

With all these factors in mind, our recommended bet is on a draw.

Fans can catch this clash live on ESPN 2 and Disney+.

Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tip

Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction
Betting Tip	Odds
Draw	3.05

• Both teams have shown inconsistency in recent performances, making a draw a probable outcome.
• Injuries to key players on both sides may limit their ability to secure a win.
• Historical encounters between Cagliari and Genoa often result in draws or closely contested matches.

Cagliari vs Genoa Odds

Cagliari vs Genoa Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Cagliari	2.42
Draw	3.05
Genoa	3.15

The odds indicate that Cagliari are the favourites to win this match, but not by a significant margin.
Given the recent form and injury woes of both sides, a draw remains a likely outcome.
Cagliari have the slight home advantage, but their inconsistency and Genoa’s relatively secure league position balance things out.

Cagliari Team Analysis

Cagliari Recent Performance

Cagliari’s recent performance has been a mixed bag, showcasing their inconsistency. They have managed to secure only one win in their last five matches. Despite their struggles, they are known for not giving up easily.

Home team	Away team	Result
Bologna	Cagliari	2-1 (Loss)
Cagliari	Juventus	0-1 (Loss)
Atalanta	Cagliari	0-0 (Draw)
Cagliari	Parma Calcio 1913	2-1 (Win)
Cagliari	Lazio	1-2 (Loss)
Recent Form: LLDWL

Cagliari has averaged 0.80 goals per match in their last five games, indicating a struggle to find the back of the net regularly. With only one clean sheet in their last five games, defense remains a concern for Davide Nicola’s side. Their shaky form is further complicated by the absence of their forward Zito Luvumbo due to injury, making their quest to move out of the relegation zone even more challenging.

Cagliari Key Players

Cagliari will be keen to rely on their top scorer Roberto Piccoli, who has netted 7 goals this season, as they navigate through their challenging fixtures. His potential duel with Genoa’s Johan Vásquez could be a crucial aspect of the game.
Another key player to watch is Yerry Mina, who will anchor the defence and attempt to shut down Genoa’s attacks. He’ll have to be at his best to stop Andrea Pinamonti, Genoa’s top scorer with 8 goals.

Expected lineup for Cagliari:

• Goalkeeper: Elia Caprile
• Defenders: Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto, Tommaso Augello
• Midfielders: Nadir Zortea, Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Mattia Felici
• Attackers: Roberto Piccoli, Florinel Coman

Cagliari Suspensions & Injuries

Cagliari will be without their forward Zito Luvumbo, who is sidelined due to a thigh injury. His absence could significantly affect their attacking options as they look to secure vital points to avoid relegation.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Zito Luvumbo	Thigh injury	Late March 2025

Luvumbo’s absence comes at a crucial time, adding pressure on Roberto Piccoli to perform up front. Cagliari will need to adapt quickly, incorporating reserves and possibly changing tactics to compensate for this loss.

Cagliari Tactics and Formation

Cagliari Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Roberto Piccoli and Florinel Coman
• Midfield Quartet: Nadir Zortea, Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Mattia Felici
• Defensive Unit: Elia Caprile (Goalkeeper), Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto, Tommaso Augello

Cagliari typically lines up in a 4-4-2 formation, providing balance between attack and defense.
The team relies heavily on the forward duo of Piccoli and Coman, especially with Luvumbo out due to injury.
In midfield, Zortea and Felici operate down the flanks, while Adopo and Makoumbou are expected to control the central areas and provide cover for the defense.
At the back, Mina and Luperto form a solid central defensive partnership. They will need to be at their best to repel Genoa’s attacks, particularly in the final 15 minutes of the game, where Genoa is most prolific.
This formation aims for a compact defensive setup with quick transitions to exploit any gaps left by Genoa’s high press.

Genoa Team Analysis

Genoa Recent Performance DLWDL

Genoa’s recent run in Serie A has been a mixed bag, reflecting their up-and-down form this season. Over the last five matches, they have a record of one win, two draws, and two losses.
They’ve managed to score an average of 1.00 goal per game while maintaining one clean sheet in their last five outings. This highlights both their ability to find the net and their occasional defensive resilience.

Home team	Away team	Result
Genoa	Empoli	1-1 (Draw)
Inter	Genoa	1-0 (Loss)
Genoa	Venezia	2-0 (Win)
Torino	Genoa	1-1 (Draw)
Fiorentina	Genoa	2-1 (Loss)

In their upcoming match, they’ll need to draw upon the fighting spirit they displayed in their previous encounters to overcome Cagliari’s challenge.

Genoa Key Players

Expected lineup for Genoa:

• Goalkeeper: Nicola Leali
• Defenders: Stefano Sabelli, Koni De Winter, Johan Vasquez, Aaron Martin
• Midfielders: Milan Badelj, Morten Frendrup, Alessandro Zanoli, Junior Messias, Fabio Miretti
• Attacker: Andrea Pinamonti

Andrea Pinamonti, Genoa’s top scorer with 8 goals, will be the focal point of their attack. His duel with Cagliari’s Yerry Mina, a robust centre-back, will be crucial.

In midfield, Morten Frendrup’s defensive work rate and Milan Badelj’s experience will be vital against Cagliari’s pressing gameplay.

Junior Messias’ creativity and Fabio Miretti’s pace on the wings could stretch the Cagliari defense, making space for Pinamonti to exploit.

Genoa will rely on these key players to create and capitalize on scoring opportunities against Cagliari.

Genoa Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Honest Ahanor	Meniscus injury	Mid March 2025
Morten Thorsby	Calf Injury	Mid March 2025
Vitinha	Muscle injury	Mid March 2025
Mario Balotelli	Broken hand	Early April 2025
Mattia Bani	Muscle injury	Mid March 2025

Genoa are facing a few injury troubles ahead of the match. Key players such as Honest Ahanor, Morten Thorsby, Vitinha, and Mattia Bani are out with various injuries and are expected to return in mid-March, significantly impacting their squad depth.
Mario Balotelli will also be unavailable until early April due to a broken hand.
The absence of these players might force Patrick Vieira to adjust his tactics and rely on the depth of his squad to cover these critical missing pieces against Cagliari.

Genoa Tactics and Formation

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Andrea Pinamonti
• Midfield Trio: Alessandro Zanoli, Junior Messias, Fabio Miretti
• Defensive Pairing: Koni De Winter and Johan Vásquez

Patrick Vieira’s Genoa team typically sets up in a solid 4-2-3-1 formation. Andrea Pinamonti, their top scorer with 8 goals, spearheads the attack, looking to capitalize on the attacking support from Junior Messias, Alessandro Zanoli, and Fabio Miretti.

In midfield, Milan Badelj and Morten Frendrup offer defensive sturdiness, shielding the back four. With the misfortune of several key injuries, Vieira might have to rely on the squad’s depth and flexibility to execute his usual gameplay, focusing on counter-attacks and pressing during the latter stages, particularly in the 76-90 minute interval where they excel.

Cagliari vs Genoa Head-to-Head Statistics

Home	Away	Result
Genoa	Cagliari	2-2
Genoa	Cagliari	3-0
Cagliari	Genoa	2-1
Cagliari	Genoa	0-0
Genoa	Cagliari	0-0

In their last five meetings, these teams have shown a balanced contest with draws being quite common.
Cagliari has managed one win, while Genoa recorded one victory and three matches ended in a stalemate.
Expect a tightly contested game, as history suggests they are evenly matched.

Odds accurate as of 03/06/2025 14:54, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.