Southampton vs. Burnley Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 8 February 2025 - bettingexpert
As the FA Cup reaches the 4th Round, Southampton welcome Burnley to St. Mary’s Stadium for a 15:00 kickoff on 8 February 2025.
With Southampton currently struggling in the Premier League and facing potential relegation, this match serves as a crucial break from their domestic woes. On the other hand, Burnley are in strong form, sitting third in the Championship with good promotion prospects.
Recent form suggests a tight contest: Southampton’s last five results (WLLLW) hint at inconsistency, whereas Burnley’s form (WDDWD) highlights their solid and resilient nature. Both teams have key injuries, but Burnley’s defence seems sturdy, boasting five clean sheets in their last five games.
Considering both teams have scored in the majority of their recent encounters, a bet on both teams to score appears promising. Good luck everyone!
Southampton vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tip
Recommended bet: Both teams to score: yes
| Southampton vs Burnley Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.91 |
- Both teams have a history of scoring in their recent encounters, with two of their last three matches seeing both teams find the net.
- Southampton have averaged 1.80 goals in their last five games, showing their attacking potential despite their inconsistency.
- Burnley’s defense has been strong, but their ability to score, combined with Southampton’s offensive capabilities, makes this a sound bet.
Southampton vs Burnley Odds
| Southampton vs Burnley Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Southampton | 1.75 |
| Draw | 3.53 |
| Burnley | 4.72 |
As favourites for this matchup, Southampton’s odds sit at 1.75, suggesting bookmakers have faith in their ability to exploit home advantage at St. Mary’s Stadium. A draw currently offers decent odds of 3.53, while a Burnley win presents a lucrative 4.72, indicating the underdogs have an uphill battle despite their solid recent form. These odds underline the competitive nature of FA Cup clashes, where upsets are not uncommon.
Southampton Team Analysis
Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | Southampton | 1-2 (Win) |
| Southampton | Newcastle | 1-3 (Loss) |
| Nottingham Forest | Southampton | 3-2 (Loss) |
| Manchester United | Southampton | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Southampton | Swansea | 3-0 (Win) |
Southampton has had a mixed run of form lately, with their last five matches showcasing a record of two wins and three losses.
Recent Performance: WLLLW
In recent games, they’ve managed to score an average of 1.80 goals per match and have only secured one clean sheet, suggesting some defensive vulnerabilities. Their last decisive win against Ipswich and a 3-0 victory over Swansea highlight their potential to bounce back. However, their defensive lapses cost them in losses to Newcastle, Nottingham Forest, and Manchester United, conceding a total of nine goals in those three fixtures. Southampton’s attack is led by Tyler Dibling, who has scored two goals in this tournament so far.
All in all, Southampton will need to tighten up defensively while leveraging their attacking prowess to make an impact in this FA Cup tie.
Southampton Key Players
Tyler Dibling stands out as Southampton’s key player, having scored two goals in this FA Cup tournament.
His attacking prowess will be essential against Burnley. Onuachu and Fernandes can also pose significant threats upfront.
Defensively, Jan Bednarek and Taylor Harwood-Bellis, if fit, will need to be in top form to counter Burnley’s offensive threats, particularly from Zian Flemming.
The potential individual battles between Dibling and Burnley’s James Trafford will be fascinating to watch.
Expected lineup for Southampton:
- Goalkeeper: Aaron Ramsdale
- Defenders: James Bree, Jan Bednarek, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Kyle Walker-Peters, Welington
- Midfielders: Lesley Ugochukwu, Joe Aribo, Mateus Fernandes, Albert Groenbaek
- Forwards: Paul Onuachu
These players’ performances will likely determine Southampton’s fate in this crucial FA Cup encounter.
Southampton Suspensions & Injuries
Southampton have a few injury concerns, which might affect their squad depth for this FA Cup fixture against Burnley:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stewart | Calf Injury | Mid February 2025 |
| Ryan Fraser | Physical discomfort | Mid February 2025 |
| Nathan Wood | Muscle injury | Mid February 2025 |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | Ankle injury | Mid February 2025 |
The absence of these players will be felt, especially Taylor Harwood-Bellis as he has been a key figure in defense. Ross Stewart and Ryan Fraser’s absence might limit Southampton’s attacking options, while Nathan Wood’s injury further depletes their defensive reinforcements.
The team will need to rely on their available players stepping up to fill these gaps.
Southampton Tactics and Formation
Southampton Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Paul Onuachu
- Midfield Engine: Lesley Ugochukwu, Joe Aribo, Mateus Fernandes, Albert Groenbaek
- Defensive Setup: James Bree, Jan Bednarek, Kyle Walker-Peters
Southampton have favored a 3-4-2-1 formation recently. The team relies heavily on Paul Onuachu upfront to lead the attack, supported by a dynamic midfield capable of quick transitions.
Defensively, with Aaron Ramsdale in goal, they’ve managed one clean sheet in their last five matches. Their defensive strength will be crucial to withstand Burnley’s attack.
Expect James Bree and Jan Bednarek to play significant roles in holding the backline, especially in the absence of Taylor Harwood-Bellis. Their tactic revolves around quick counter-attacks and leveraging set pieces to unlock Burnley’s sturdy defense.
Burnley Team Analysis
Burnley Recent Performance
Burnley have been in solid form recently, avoiding defeat in their last five matches with a record of two wins and three draws, showcasing their defensive solidity. They’ve achieved five clean sheets in their last five games, an impressive feat that highlights their defensive strength. Despite their strong defensive record, they’ve only managed an average of 1.20 goals per game during this stretch.
Here’s a look at Burnley’s last five results:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Oxford | 1-0 (Win) |
| Portsmouth | Burnley | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Burnley | Leeds | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Plymouth | Burnley | 0-5 (Win) |
| Burnley | Sunderland | 0-0 (Draw) |
Burnley’s strong form is bolstered by their solid backline and James Trafford’s goalkeeping, keeping them in the hunt for promotion.
Burnley Key Players
Burnley’s standout performer this season, Zian Flemming, will be crucial for their attacking play, being their top scorer with 2 goals in the FA Cup so far. Flemming’s ability to find space and his finishing prowess will be essential against a Southampton defense that has struggled recently.
Expected lineup for Burnley:
- Goalkeeper: James Trafford
- Defenders: Connor Roberts, Conrad Egan-Riley, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys
- Midfielders: Josh Cullen, Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony, Hannibal Mejbri, Lyle Foster
- Forward: Zian Flemming
Key individual battles to watch include Flemming going up against Southampton’s central defenders, and Lyle Foster facing their full-backs, aiming to exploit any defensive lapses. Additionally, Hannibal Mejbri’s creative midfield play could be a deciding factor against Southampton’s midfield trio.
Burnley Suspensions & Injuries
Burnley have several key players currently sidelined due to injuries, which could impact their performance in the upcoming FA Cup match against Southampton.
Injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ramsey | Cruciate ligament injury | Late February 2025 |
| Louis Jordan Beyer | Hamstring injury | Mid February 2025 |
| Enock Agyei | Leg injury | Mid February 2025 |
| Nathan Redmond | Leg injury | Late February 2025 |
| Benson Manuel | Calf injury | Late February 2025 |
| Josh Brownhill | Knock injury | Doubtful |
| Luca Koleosho | Knock injury | Doubtful |
Suspensions:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| None | – | – |
| Burnley will especially miss the creative play of Aaron Ramsey and the defensive reliability of Louis Jordan Beyer. With multiple players out, managing the squad depth will be a challenge for the coach, particularly in maintaining their defensive solidity and midfield control. |
Burnley Tactics and Formation
Burnley’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Zian Flemming – top scorer with 2 goals this season.
- Midfield Trio: Josh Cullen, Josh Laurent, and Hannibal Mejbri provide a solid core.
- Defensive Strength: Five clean sheets in the last five games highlight their solid backline.
- Notable Strategy: They secure the midfield and launch counter-attacks, leveraging the pace and creativity of Jaidon Anthony and Lyle Foster.
Burnley’s consistency in sticking with the 4-2-3-1 formation aids their defensive stability while providing enough fluidity to press forward effectively. Their recent clean sheet record also indicates their defensive resilience, making it tough for opponents to break through.
Southampton vs Burnley Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Southampton | 2-0 |
| Southampton | Burnley | 2-2 |
| Southampton | Burnley | 3-2 |
| Burnley | Southampton | 0-1 |
| Southampton | Burnley | 1-2 |
In their last five encounters, Southampton and Burnley have had a mix of results, with each team tasting victory. Southampton’s last win against Burnley came in September 2020, while Burnley’s most recent triumph was a 2-0 victory in April 2022.
These matches have been closely contested, with goals often shared between the two sides. Southampton’s home advantage might play a role, but Burnley’s solid defensive record gives them a fighting chance.
Odds accurate as of 07.02.2025 08:18, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
