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Freiburg vs. Bayern Munich Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 25 January 2025 - bettingexpert

Freiburg-Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
Fulltime
FreiburgFreiburg
1 - 2
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
(HT 0-1)

The Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich on 25 January 2025 promises to be a fascinating encounter at the Europa-Park Stadion. Despite Freiburg’s mid-table standing (8th position with 27 points), they face a daunting challenge against league leaders Bayern Munich, who have amassed 45 points and are showing tremendous form under Vincent Kompany.

Freiburg’s recent results highlight their inconsistency, with a patchy LLWLW record in their last five matches. This inconsistency, coupled with recent injuries to key players like Daniel-Kofi Kyereh and Bruno Ogbus, puts them at a disadvantage against a powerhouse Bayern Munich side looking to bounce back from a surprising defeat to Feyenoord in the Champions League.

Bayern Munich’s lethal attack, spearheaded by Harry Kane and supported by talents such as Jamal Musiala and Michael Olise, is expected to pose significant problems for Freiburg’s defense – especially with Bayern scoring an average of 3 goals per game in their last five encounters.

Given Bayern’s offensive prowess and Freiburg’s defensive vulnerabilities, as indicated by their last five problematic results, our recommended bet is for Bayern Munich to win comfortably with odds of 1.32. Given the potential for high scoring, betting on more than 2.5 goals is also advisable.

In summary, Bayern Munich are the favourites, and this match is crucial for maintaining their lead at the top of the Bundesliga.

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tip

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Bayern Munich to win 1.32
  • Bayern Munich are top of the league (1st with 45 points) and performing superbly.
  • Freiburg, sitting mid-table, have shown defensive vulnerabilities, evidenced by not having kept a clean sheet in their last five matches.
  • The head-to-head history indicates a high-scoring trend, with more than 2.5 goals scored in 78% of their last nine encounters, making a Bayern win with likely goals a solid bet.

Given the form and attacking prowess of Bayern Munich, a bet on their victory is highly recommended. 🌟

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Odds

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Freiburg 8.22
Draw 5.64
Bayern Munich 1.32

Bayern Munich heads into this fixture as the clear favourites, and it’s no surprise given their dominant position at the top of the table. Their odds of 1.32 reflect their strong form and attacking prowess, while Freiburg’s odds of 8.22 underscore the challenge they face. With Bayern’s offensive style and key strikers like Harry Kane in top form, these odds offer a realistic expectation of the match outcome.

Freiburg, although the underdogs, have shown flashes of attacking ability, making a high-scoring game likely.

Freiburg Team Analysis

Freiburg Recent Performance

Home team Away team Result
VfB Stuttgart Freiburg 4-0 (Loss)
Eintracht Frankfurt Freiburg 4-1 (Loss)
Freiburg Holstein Kiel 3-2 (Win)
Bayer Leverkusen Freiburg 5-1 (Loss)
Freiburg Wolfsburg 3-2 (Win)

Recent Form: LLWLW

Freiburg’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five outings. This inconsistency sees them sitting 8th in the table with 27 points. They have averaged 1.6 goals per game during this period, but have struggled defensively, conceding heavily and keeping no clean sheets. Despite these setbacks, they have managed to score in all their recent home games, showing some attacking prowess.

Injury concerns for key players like Daniel-Kofi Kyereh and Bruno Ogbus, coupled with coach Julian Schuster’s tactical decisions, make this upcoming match even more challenging. The team will need a robust performance to stand a fair chance against formidable opponents like Bayern Munich.

Freiburg Key Players

Freiburg’s key players for their match against Bayern Munich will be pivotal if they are to challenge the league leaders. Leading from the front, Ritsu Doan is their top scorer with 6 goals and will need to be at his best to pierce Bayern’s defense. Vincenzo Grifo and Maximilian Eggestein will also play crucial roles in midfield, providing creativity and stability. In defense, the absence of Matthias Ginter due to injury will be a significant blow, shifting the responsibility to young center-back Max Rosenfelder.

Expected lineup for Freiburg:

  • Goalkeeper: Florian Müller
  • Defenders: Lukas Kübler, Philipp Lienhart, Max Rosenfelder, Christian Günter
  • Midfielders: Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Ritsu Doan, Merlin Röhl, Vincenzo Grifo
  • Attackers: Junior Adamu

Keep an eye on the battles in the midfield, where Eggestein and Osterhage will contest against Bayern’s seasoned duo of Joshua Kimmich and Leon Goretzka.

Freiburg Suspensions & Injuries

Freiburg is dealing with several injuries that could significantly impact their performance against Bayern Munich. Here’s a closer look:

Player Injury Expected return
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh Knee surgery Mid-February 2025
Bruno Ogbus Achilles tendon injury Out for the season
Kiliann Sildillia Sprained ankle Mid-February 2025
Matthias Ginter Knock injury About a week
Noah Atubolu Illness A few days

With key players like Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, Bruno Ogbus, and Kiliann Sildillia sidelined, Freiburg’s squad depth will be tested. The absence of Matthias Ginter, a critical figure in their defense, adds further challenges to their already uphill battle against Bayern Munich. The young Max Rosenfelder will need to step up in the defensive line.

Freiburg Tactics and Formation

Freiburg Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Junior Adamu
  • Midfield Trio: Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Merlin Röhl
  • Defensive Highlight: Integration of young Max Rosenfelder due to the absence of key defenders.
  • Notable Strategy: Strong attack between the 61-75 minute interval.

Freiburg, under Julian Schuster, sets up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. The team’s offensive thrust often relies on creative play from the wing positions, with Ritsu Doan and Vincenzo Grifo being pivotal. Despite recent defensive struggles, conceding heavily in previous matches, Freiburg aims to stabilize the backline, with Max Rosenfelder stepping up in the absence of experienced players like Matthias Ginter. The team’s tactic involves high pressing and quick transitions, especially focusing on the 61-75 minute mark, where they have been most effective in scoring this season.

Bayern Munich Team Analysis

Bayern Munich Recent Performance

Bayern Munich has had a stellar run recently, showing top form with four wins in their last five matches. Their recent performances are a testament to their dominance in the Bundesliga, with an impressive average of 3.00 goals scored per game and maintaining three clean sheets in this period.

Home team Away team Result
Feyenoord Bayern Munich 3-0 (Loss)
Bayern Munich Wolfsburg 3-2 (Win)
Bayern Munich Hoffenheim 5-0 (Win)
Borussia Moenchengladbach Bayern Munich 0-1 (Win)
Salzburg Bayern Munich 0-6 (Win)

Bayern conceded only 0.9 goals on average this season, indicating a strong defensive setup. Their attack, spearheaded by Harry Kane, has been prolific, making them favorites to win this match comfortably.

Bayern Munich Key Players

Expected lineup for Bayern Munich:

  • Goalkeeper: Manuel Neuer
  • Defenders: Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Min-Jae Kim, Alphonso Davies
  • Midfielders: Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Leroy Sané, Michael Olise, Kingsley Coman
  • Forward: Harry Kane

Harry Kane stands out as Bayern’s top scorer with 16 goals, forming a formidable front line. Joshua Kimmich and Leon Goretzka control the midfield, ensuring a steady supply to the attackers. With Dayot Upamecano and Min-Jae Kim at the heart of their defense, the team is solid at the back.

Key battles to watch include Harry Kane against Max Rosenfelder and Ritsu Doan trying to break through the defensive setup led by Upamecano.

Bayern Munich Suspensions & Injuries

Suspensions

Player Suspension Expected return
Konrad Laimer Yellow cards 01/31/2025

Injuries

Player Injury Expected return
Hiroki Ito Metatarsal fracture Mid March 2025
Daniel Peretz Abdominal injury Early February 2025

The suspension of Konrad Laimer due to yellow card accumulation will be a notable absence in Bayern’s defense, potentially affecting their stability at the back.

Hiroki Ito and Daniel Peretz’s injuries reduce Bayern’s depth, especially in the defensive line, putting more pressure on the remaining fit players to maintain their solid form.

Vincent Kompany will need to rely on his squad’s resilience in these absences and leverage the depth in his squad to cover these gaps effectively.

Bayern Munich Tactics and Formation

Bayern Munich’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Harry Kane
  • Midfield Duo: Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka
  • Wingers: Leroy Sane, Kingsley Coman
  • Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games

Bayern’s attack is spearheaded by Harry Kane, who brings a physical presence and goal-scoring threat. Leroy Sane and Kingsley Coman provide width and pace on the wings, making Bayern dangerous in wide areas.

Kimmich and Goretzka form a robust midfield partnership, offering both defensive cover and attacking support. The defense, led by Dayot Upamecano and Min-Jae Kim, aims to maintain their recent solid form, despite the absence of Konrad Laimer due to suspension.

Vincent Kompany will likely focus on a high press and quick transitions, aiming to exploit Freiburg’s vulnerabilities, particularly in the second half, aligning with their tendency to score most goals between the 61-75 minute interval.

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head Statistics

Home Away Result
Freiburg Bayern Munich 0-1
Bayern Munich Freiburg 5-3
Freiburg Bayern Munich 1-3
Bayern Munich Freiburg 3-0
Freiburg Bayern Munich 2-2

In their last five encounters, Bayern Munich have dominated the matchups with four wins and one draw.
Bayern have consistently displayed their attacking prowess, often scoring more than two goals per game against Freiburg.
This historical performance underlines the challenge Freiburg faces in this encounter.

Odds accurate as of 23/01/2025 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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