Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction - Europa League

The Spurs face AZ Alkmaar on 13 March 2025 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for the second leg of the Europa League Round of 16. Both teams have a lot on the line as they aim to advance to the quarterfinals.

Tottenham recently lost 1-0 in the first leg and will be looking to bounce back at home. Under the pressure of this crucial fixture, Ange Postecoglou’s side is struggling with injuries to key players, including Richarlison and Dejan Kulusevski.

AZ has been a surprise package this season, especially in Europe where they defeated Galatasaray convincingly. However, they are missing some key players like Ruben van Bommel and Jayden Addai.

The weather will be chilly and overcast, and fans should expect a tightly contested game with a late first goal likely. Tottenham is the favorite, but given AZ’s recent form and Tottenham’s injury woes, this match could go either way. Betting on under 0.5 goals in the first half may be a good option.

Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tip

For the upcoming match between Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar, our recommended betting tip is to bet on under 0.5 goals in the first half. This prediction stems from the following match facts and tips:

• Expect a late first goal, potentially between the 41st and 50th minute
• Tottenham is dealing with several key injuries, which could hinder their scoring ability early on.
• Historically, matches between these teams have been tightly contested affairs with limited first-half goals.
• The overcast and chilly weather conditions may also contribute to a slower start to the game.

Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Odds

The bookmakers have placed Tottenham as the favourites in this encounter, clearly reflecting their better position on paper despite recent struggles and injuries.

Tottenham vs. AZ Alkmaar Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Tottenham	1.48
Draw	4.60
AZ Alkmaar	5.95

Tottenham’s odds indicate a high chance of a home win, even though they are dealing with multiple key player injuries and a previous 1-0 loss to AZ in the first leg.

Those looking to bet on a draw or an AZ victory stand to gain higher returns, considering AZ’s recent impressive displays in Europe and Tottenham’s fluctuating form.

Tottenham Team Analysis

Tottenham’s recent form has been a bit of a rollercoaster ride. Here’s a look at their last five results:

Home team	Away team	Result
Tottenham	Bournemouth	2-2 (Draw)
AZ Alkmaar	Tottenham	1-0 (Loss)
Tottenham	Manchester City	0-1 (Loss)
Ipswich	Tottenham	1-4 (Win)
Tottenham	Manchester United	1-0 (Win)

Tottenham have managed to score an average of 1.40 goals per game in their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities. The injuries to key players like Richarlison and Dejan Kulusevski have impacted their performance, adding pressure on other squad members to step up. Recent draws and losses, especially the 1-0 defeat to AZ Alkmaar in the first leg, are a reminder that they need to find consistency, particularly in the Europa League.

Tottenham Key Players

Tottenham will be counting on their better lineup despite recent injury woes. With key players like Richarlison and Dejan Kulusevski sidelined, the onus falls on others to step up. Expected lineup for Tottenham:

• Goalkeeper: Guglielmo Vicario
• Defenders: Cristian Romero, Kevin Danso, Pedro Porro, Djed Spence
• Midfielders: Yves Bissouma, Pape Sarr, and likely a reshuffle due to Rodrigo Bentancur’s suspension
• Forwards: Brennan Johnson, Dominic Solanke, Wilson Odobert

Watch for battles between Tottenham’s forwards and AZ’s better defense, especially the matchup between Solanke and Wouter Goes. Brennan Johnson, with his pace and skill, will be pivotal in breaking down AZ’s backline. This tactical interplay could determine the match’s outcome.

Tottenham Suspensions & Injuries

Tottenham is grappling with several injuries that could significantly impact their performance against AZ Alkmaar. Here is the current injury and suspension list:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Radu Drăgușin	Cruciate ligament injury	Mid October 2025
Richarlison	Calf injury	A few days
Ben Davies	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Dejan Kulusevski	Foot injury	Early April 2025
Player	Suspension	Expected return
Rodrigo Bentancur	Yellow cards	1 match

The absence of key players like Richarlison and Bentancur will force Tottenham to reshuffle their lineup. The team’s defensive solidity and attacking options will be tested without these crucial talents.

This reshuffling, combined with recent disjointed performances, puts extra pressure on the remaining players to step up, particularly in a crucial Europa League match.

Tottenham Tactics and Formation

Tottenham Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Dominic Solanke
• Midfield Trio: Yves Bissouma, Pape Sarr, Rodrigo Bentancur
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong attack between the 61-75 minute interval

With Rodrigo Bentancur suspended and key injuries affecting their regular lineup, Tottenham is expected to prioritize a balanced approach. Given their recent disjointed performances, there may be an emphasis on maintaining solid defensive lines to counteract AZ’s physical and cohesive attack. The absence of Bentancur will also force the team to rely heavily on Bissouma and Sarr to control the midfield. Their wingers will be tasked with creating opportunities for Solanke upfront.

AZ Alkmaar Team Analysis

AZ Alkmaar has showcased solid performances in their recent outings, with a record of three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They have averaged 2.20 goals scored per game and have maintained two clean sheets, indicating a balanced approach between attack and defence.

Home team	Away team	Result
AZ Alkmaar	Tottenham	1-0 (Win)
SC Heerenveen	AZ Alkmaar	3-1 (Loss)
Heracles	AZ Alkmaar	2-2 (Draw)
AZ Alkmaar	Fortuna Sittard	1-0 (Win)
Galatasaray	AZ Alkmaar	2-2 (Draw)

AZ’s performance highlights their resilience and ability to score under pressure. However, their defensive solidity will be key as they face Tottenham away from home.

AZ Alkmaar Key Players

Expected lineup for AZ Alkmaar:

• Goalkeeper: Rome Owusu-Oduro
• Defenders: Seiya Maikuma, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, David Moeller Wolfe
• Midfielders: Jordy Clasie, Zico Buurmeester, Peer Koopmeiners
• Attackers: Ernest Poku, Troy Parrott, Mayckel Lahdo

Troy Parrott stands out as AZ’s top scorer, with one goal to his name in the competition. His ability to find space and finish under pressure will be crucial against Tottenham’s defence.

Midfield dynamo Jordy Clasie will be key in dictating play and breaking up Tottenham’s attacks.

Watch out for the individual battles: Parrott vs. Cristian Romero and Clasie vs. Yves Bissouma.

These duels will likely have a significant impact on the outcome of the match.

AZ Alkmaar Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Sem Westerveld	Knee injury	Doubtful
Ruben van Bommel	Leg injury	Doubtful
Mexx Meerdink	Hamstring Injury	Back in training
Jayden Addai	Ankle injury	Mid March 2025
Sven Mijnans	Achilles tendon injury	Early May 2025
Mayckel Lahdo	Foot injury	Early April 2025

AZ Alkmaar is facing several injury concerns, with Mayckel Lahdo, their key forward, out until early April. This likely diminishes their attacking threat against Tottenham. Their squad’s depth will be tested, and these absences might affect their fluidity on the pitch. As the away team doesn’t have any suspensions, it will be crucial for their remaining fit players to step up and fill the gaps left by the injured.

AZ Alkmaar Tactics and Formation

AZ Alkmaar’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Troy Parrott
• Midfield Trio: Jordy Clasie, Zico Buurmeester, Peer Koopmeiners
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on quick counter-attacks and utilizing wide areas, particularly with a better start to each half.

AZ Alkmaar will aim to replicate their 1-0 victory in the first leg, leveraging their sharp forwards and solid midfield. Despite recent injuries, their squad depth and tactical discipline will be crucial in handling Tottenham’s advances. Expect a compact defensive setup with fluid transitions in attack.

Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head Statistics

In their recent encounters, Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar have faced each other twice, with each team securing a victory. These meetings have shown just how competitive this matchup can be.

Home	Away	Result
AZ Alkmaar	Tottenham	1-0
Tottenham	AZ Alkmaar	1-0

Tottenham will aim to turn the tables after their previous defeat, while AZ Alkmaar will look to maintain their edge, making for an exciting clash in the Europa League.