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St. Pauli vs. Augsburg Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 February 2025 - bettingexpert

St. Pauli-Augsburg
Bundesliga
Fulltime
St. PauliSt. Pauli
1 - 1
AugsburgAugsburg
(HT 1-0)

St. Pauli will host Augsburg at Millerntor Stadion on 1 February 2025 for a crucial Bundesliga clash. Both teams are hovering near the lower half of the table, with St. Pauli sitting 13th and Augsburg just a spot above in 12th. This match could prove vital for both sides in their battle to avoid relegation threats.
St. Pauli, under Alexander Blessin, have shown inconsistent form lately (WWLLL) but impressed in their recent 3-0 victory over Union Berlin. Known for their defensive solidity, they’ve conceded just 21 goals this season, the second best in the league. However, their offense has struggled, scoring only 14 goals in 18 matches.
Augsburg, coached by Jess Thorup, come into this fixture with a better recent run of form (WWWLL). They have secured clean sheets and wins in their last two outings against Union Berlin and Werder Bremen. Key changes, including reinstating Finn Dahmen as goalkeeper, have bolstered their defense.
Given their current form and home advantage, St. Pauli are slightly favored by bookmakers. Our tip is to back St. Pauli to win, with odds of 2.30.

St. Pauli vs Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tip

Our recommended betting tip for this fixture is to back St. Pauli to win. The prediction is grounded on recent performances, historical head-to-head results, and current league standings.

St. Pauli vs Augsburg Prediction
Betting tip Odds
St. Pauli to Win 2.30
  • St. Pauli’s home advantage could play a decisive role, as they have a strong chance of securing a victory in this match.
  • Recent form is in St. Pauli’s favor with two wins in their last three games, showing improvement under Alexander Blessin.
  • Top defensive showings have resulted in two clean sheets from their last five outings, indicating a robust backline.

With their recent form and home advantage, St. Pauli appear to have the edge going into this encounter.

St. Pauli vs Augsburg Odds

Here’s a look at the odds for this intriguing Bundesliga clash:

St. Pauli vs Augsburg Betting Odds
Bet Odds
St. Pauli 2.30
Draw 3.19
Augsburg 3.20

St. Pauli are slight favourites according to bookmakers, reflecting their solid recent form at Millerntor Stadion.
With both teams struggling in the league and a close points tally, betting on a draw could also be an interesting consideration. However, St. Pauli’s defensive fortitude and home advantage might just tip the scales in their favour.

St. Pauli Team Analysis

St. Pauli Recent Performance

St. Pauli have displayed mixed performances in their last five league matches, showcasing both the highs and lows of their campaign.

Home team Away team Result
St. Pauli Union Berlin 3-0 (Win)
FC Heidenheim St. Pauli 0-2 (Win)
Bochum St. Pauli 1-0 (Loss)
St. Pauli Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1 (Loss)
Eintracht Braunschweig St. Pauli 2-1 (Loss)

Despite two impressive victories against Union Berlin and FC Heidenheim, their defensive durability couldn’t hold against Bochum, Eintracht Frankfurt, and Eintracht Braunschweig.

In their last five games, St. Pauli have kept 2 clean sheets and averaged 1.20 goals per game. The team has struggled defensively at times, conceding goals particularly in the 76-90 minute interval.

St. Pauli Key Players

St. Pauli’s key players for this match include their top scorer, Morgan Guilavogui, who has netted 5 goals so far this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for St. Pauli in this tightly contested matchup.

Another player to watch is goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj, who has been instrumental in keeping two clean sheets in the last five games. Vasilj’s shot-stopping abilities will be key in defending against Augsburg’s attack.

The midfield duo of Jackson Irvine and James Sands will also play a significant role. Their performance in controlling the midfield could be the deciding factor.

Expected lineup for St. Pauli:

  • Goalkeeper: Nikola Vasilj
  • Defenders: Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth, Fin Stevens
  • Midfielders: Manolis Saliakas, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Philipp Treu
  • Attackers: Morgan Guilavogui, Johannes Eggestein, Noah Weißhaupt

St. Pauli Suspensions & Injuries

St. Pauli will be missing several key players due to injuries, which could impact their performance against Augsburg. Here’s a look at the sidelined players and their expected return dates:

Player Injury Expected return
Simon Zoller Calf Injury Early February 2025
Sascha Burchert Groin injury Late February 2025
Sören Ahlers Knee injury Late February 2025
Connor Metcalfe Groin injury Early February 2025
Robert Wagner Hip injury Early February 2025
Karol Mets Tendon injury A few days

These absences might force coach Alexander Blessin to rely on squad depth, potentially disrupting team chemistry and tactical consistency. The return of key players in early February will be a significant boost for their upcoming fixtures.

St. Pauli Tactics and Formation

St. Pauli Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-3
  • Key Forward: Morgan Guilavogui, the team’s top scorer with 5 goals.
  • Midfield Duo: Jackson Irvine and James Sands providing stability and transitions.
  • Defensive Line: Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth, and Fin Stevens.

St. Pauli employs a 3-4-3 formation focused on solid defensive structure and counter-attacks. They lean on their defensive strength, having conceded just 21 goals this season.
The midfield duo of Irvine and Sands dictate the tempo and offer stability. Guilavogui leads the attack, often supported by Eggestein and Weißhaupt.
Expect a cautious approach, with the team looking to hit Augsburg on the break while maintaining a solid defensive line.

Augsburg Team Analysis

Augsburg Recent Performance

Augsburg have shown a mixed bag of performances recently, going into this match with a record of three wins, followed by two losses in their last five matches.
Their recent form looks like: WWWLL
Here’s how their last five results stack up:

Home team Away team Result
Augsburg FC Heidenheim 2-1 (Win)
Werder Bremen Augsburg 0-2 (Win)
Union Berlin Augsburg 0-2 (Win)
Augsburg VfB Stuttgart 0-1 (Loss)
Hoffenheim Augsburg 3-1 (Loss)

Augsburg have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five games, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match.
Despite the recent losses, they have shown strong performances against teams like Werder Bremen and Union Berlin, sparking optimism for this upcoming game against St. Pauli.

Augsburg Key Players

Key players for Augsburg in this encounter against St. Pauli include:

  • Alexis Claude Maurice, who leads the team with 6 goals so far this season. He will be crucial in breaking down the St. Pauli defence and finding the back of the net.
  • Arne Maier is another pivotal midfielder who will play a significant role in both attacking support and defensive duties.
  • Finn Dahmen has been reliable between the posts, and his performance will be key to keeping a clean sheet.

Potential key battles to watch out for include Augsburg’s strikers against St. Pauli’s defensive pair of David Nemeth and Hauke Wahl.

Expected lineup for Augsburg:

  • Goalkeeper: Finn Dahmen
  • Defenders: Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Noah-Kater Banks
  • Midfielders: Marius Wolf, Elvis Rexhbecaj, Frank Onyeka, Dimitrios Giannoulis, Arne Maier, Alexis Claude Maurice
  • Center forward: Samuel Essende

Augsburg Suspensions & Injuries

Player Injury Expected return
Reece Oxford COVID-19 Unknown
Yusuf Kabadayi Knee surgery Late April 2025
Henri Koudossou Hamstring injury Mid February 2025
Kristijan Jakic Muscle injury Mid February 2025
Cedric Zesiger Hip injury Late February 2025

These absences could heavily impact Augsburg’s performance against St. Pauli. Particularly, the absence of experienced defenders like Reece Oxford and Cedric Zesiger might leave gaps at the back. Midfield dynamo Kristijan Jakic’s injury could affect their ability to control the central areas against a dynamic St. Pauli midfield. Expect Alexis Claude-Maurice and Arne Maier to take on even more responsibility to drive the team forward in their absence.

Augsburg Tactics and Formation

Augsburg’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-2-1
  • Key Forward: Samuel Essende
  • Midfield Engine: Elvis Rexhbecaj and Frank Onyeka
  • Defensive Stability: Two clean sheets in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Aggressive pressing in midfield and quick transitions

Expect Finn Dahmen to command the goal, with a central defensive trio of Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, and Noah Kai Banks forming a solid backline. The midfield, led by wing-backs Marius Wolf and Dimitrios Giannoulis, aims to provide width and support to the central duo of Rexhbecaj and Onyeka. Arne Maier and top scorer Alexis Claude Maurice will operate just behind Essende, looking to create chances through the middle and exploit any defensive lapses from St. Pauli.

St. Pauli vs Augsburg Head-to-Head Statistics

Their last five meetings have been quite eventful, with both teams sharing moments of glory.

Home Away Result
Augsburg St. Pauli 3-1
St. Pauli Augsburg 3-0
Augsburg St. Pauli 3-2
St. Pauli Augsburg 1-1
Augsburg St. Pauli 3-2

St. Pauli looks to maintain the upper hand at home, whereas Augsburg has shown dominance on their turf. This adds a layer of excitement and unpredictability to the match at Millerntor Stadion.

Odds accurate as of 01/30/2025 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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