Mainz 05 vs. Augsburg Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 8 February 2025 - bettingexpert
As Mainz 05, currently 6th in the Bundesliga, prepare to host 12th-placed Augsburg at the MEWA Arena this Saturday, the stakes couldn’t be higher for both teams. This match, kicking off at 14:30, carries importance in the battle for Europe and mid-table security. Mainz, led by Sören Hartung, have amassed 31 points, slightly ahead of a resurgent Augsburg on 26 points under the tutelage of Jess Thorup.
Mainz come into this game as the bookmaker’s favourites with odds of 1.78, reflecting their consistent home form. Their recent 2-0 win over VfB Stuttgart is a testament to their prowess, and with Jonathan Burkardt leading the charge with 12 goals this season, they pose a significant threat.
Augsburg, despite some injury woes, have shown decent form lately, highlighted by their recent progression in the German Cup and strong Bundesliga run. They have scored 1.4 goals on average in their last five games, indicating that they’re likely to find the net here.
With both teams displaying a knack for goal-scoring and their previous encounters often being high-scoring affairs, a recommended bet is both teams to score, with odds at 1.83. Given the dynamic nature of both sides, expect a thrilling contest that will contribute significantly to their season narratives.
Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tip
Based on recent performances and historical data, our betting tip is that both teams will score in this match. Why? Here’s a closer look.
| Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 1.83 |
- Both teams have found the net in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters, indicating a high likelihood of goals on both sides.
- Mainz 05 have a strong home record, not losing in their last 6 matches at MEWA Arena, while Augsburg have scored 1.4 goals on average in their last 5 games.
- Augsburg have conceded 1.7 goals per game this season, which bodes well for Mainz’s attacking prospects.
Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Odds
Examining the odds for the upcoming match between Mainz 05 and Augsburg at the MEWA Arena, we find the home team as the favorite, a fact reflected in the bookmaker odds.
| Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Mainz 05 | 1.78 |
| Draw | 3.58 |
| Augsburg | 4.62 |
Mainz 05, currently sixth in the standings, have a solid home record, making them the favorites at odds of 1.78. A draw is less likely but still possible, priced at 3.58, while an Augsburg victory, despite their recent form improvement, is considered the long shot at 4.62. These odds highlight the strong belief in Mainz’s home advantage and offensive capabilities.
Mainz 05 Team Analysis
Mainz 05 Recent Performance
Mainz 05 has experienced mixed results in their last five Bundesliga matches. Here’s a quick rundown of their recent performance:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | Mainz 05 | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Mainz 05 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-0 (Win) |
| Union Berlin | Mainz 05 | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Mainz 05 | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Mainz 05 | Bochum | 2-0 (Win) |
Despite their current sixth position with 31 points, Mainz 05’s form has been inconsistent, as shown by their recent record (LWLLW). The team has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five games, averaging 1 goal per match. This mixed form reflects both solid defensive capabilities and opportunities for improvement on the offensive side.
Sören Hartung’s squad will aim to leverage their home advantage to secure a crucial victory over Augsburg.
Mainz 05 Key Players
Mainz 05’s key player to watch is undoubtedly Jonathan Burkardt, the team’s top scorer with 12 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for Mainz as they aim to solidify their position in the top six.
Expected lineup for Mainz 05:
- Goalkeeper: Robin Zentner
- Defenders: Danny da Costa, Maxim Leitsch, Dominik Kohr
- Midfielders: Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Lennard Maloney, Phillipp Mwene
- Attackers: Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee, Armindo Sieb
The expected midfield battle between Kaishu Sano and Frank Onyeka of Augsburg could be decisive, while Burkardt will look to outmaneuver Augsburg’s defensive line, particularly under the leadership of Jeffrey Gouweleeuw. With multiple injuries and suspensions affecting the squad, Mainz will lean heavily on their available starting XI.
Mainz 05 Suspensions & Injuries
Mainz 05 faces several challenges with injuries and a suspension that could impact their lineup against Augsburg.
Suspensions:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Caci | Yellow cards | Next match |
Injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Bell | Hip injury | Late February 2025 |
| Nelson Weiper | Illness | A few days |
| Nadiem Amiri | Knock injury | A few days |
Anthony Caci’s suspension will force Coach Sören Hartung to adjust his defensive strategy. Meanwhile, the potential absence of key players like Stefan Bell and Nadiem Amiri will likely challenge Mainz’s depth, putting extra responsibility on other squad members to step up and perform.
Mainz 05 Tactics and Formation
Mainz 05 Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Expected 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Armindo Sieb
- Midfield Support: Kaishu Sano, Lennard Maloney, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
Despite the absence of Anthony Caci, Sören Hartung is likely to stick with a three-man defence bolstered by Danny da Costa, Maxim Leitsch, and Dominik Kohr. The wing-backs, Phillipp Mwene and Silvan Widmer, will provide width and support to the midfield.
Mainz relies on a robust defensive setup to neutralise opponents and then capitalise on opportunities through a versatile midfield and the attacking prowess of Armindo Sieb. Their ability to remain solid at the back while pushing forward makes them a balanced side.
Expect the team to launch counter-attacks and exploit Augsburg’s defensive vulnerabilities, targeting their average of 1.7 conceded goals per match this season.
Augsburg Team Analysis
Augsburg Recent Performance
Augsburg’s recent form shows a promising upward trend, winning three out of their last five matches.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | Augsburg | 1-0 (Loss) |
| St. Pauli | Augsburg | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Augsburg | FC Heidenheim | 2-1 (Win) |
| Werder Bremen | Augsburg | 0-2 (Win) |
| Union Berlin | Augsburg | 0-2 (Win) |
They have been consistent in finding the back of the net, with an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five fixtures. Augsburg’s defense has also been solid, achieving two clean sheets in this period. Key players like Alexis Claude have significantly contributed to their offense, which will be crucial against Mainz. Despite their lower league position, Augsburg’s form suggests they can be a formidable opponent.
Augsburg Key Players
Expected lineup for Augsburg:
- Goalkeeper: Finn Dahmen
- Right center back: Chrislain Matsima
- Central back: Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
- Left center back: Noahkai Banks
- Right midfielder: Mert Komur
- Right central midfielder: Frank Onyeka
- Central midfielder: Kristijan Jakic
- Left central midfielder: Elvis Rexhbecaj
- Left midfielder: Mads Pedersen
- Right forward: Alexis Claude Maurice
- Left forward: Samuel Essende
Augsburg’s key player to watch is Alexis Claude Maurice, who has netted 6 goals this season. His pace and precision will be vital in breaking down Mainz’s defense.
Another significant contributor is Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, anchoring the defense. His experience and leadership will be essential in managing Mainz’s attacking threats.
Keep an eye on the midfield battle between Kristijan Jakic and Mainz’s Kaishu Sano, which could dictate the game’s tempo.
Augsburg Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Reece Oxford | COVID-19 | Unknown |
| Yusuf Kabadayi | Knee surgery | Late April 2025 |
| Henri Koudossou | Hamstring injury | A few days |
| Mërgim Berisha | Muscle injury | Late February 2025 |
| Marius Wolf | Ankle injury | Early March 2025 |
| Steve Mounie | Groin injury | Early March 2025 |
| Robert Gumny | Groin injury | Early March 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| ——————– | —————— | ———————– |
| Dimitrios Giannoulis | Yellow cards | 1 match left |
Augsburg faces a challenging situation with multiple key players out due to injuries. The defense is particularly affected, with Marius Wolf and Robert Gumny sidelined. This could expose vulnerabilities at the back.
Reece Oxford’s absence due to COVID-19 remains uncertain, disrupting stability. The suspension of Dimitrios Giannoulis further weakens the defensive options. Jess Thorup will need to rely on bench strength and tactical adjustments to navigate these challenges.
Augsburg Tactics and Formation
Augsburg’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Expected to line up in a 4-4-2 formation.
- Key Forward: Alexis Claude Maurice, who has netted 6 goals this season.
- Midfield Unit: Consists of Frank Onyeka, Kristijan Jakic, Elvis Rexhbecaj, and Mads Pedersen.
- Defensive Shape: Will be anchored by Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, and Noahkai Banks.
Defensively, Augsburg has faced challenges due to multiple key injuries, leading Jess Thorup to depend heavily on bench players and potentially employ a more compact and cautious approach. Offensively, they have been in decent form, averaging 1.40 goals per game in their last 5 matches. They may rely on quick transitions and the pace of their forwards to exploit any gaps in the Mainz defense.
Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Head-to-Head Statistics
The last five meetings between Mainz 05 and Augsburg have been competitive, showing a slight edge to Mainz 05. Here is a quick look at those encounters:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Augsburg | Mainz 05 | 2-3 |
| Mainz 05 | Augsburg | 1-0 |
| Augsburg | Mainz 05 | 2-1 |
| Mainz 05 | Augsburg | 3-1 |
| Augsburg | Mainz 05 | 1-2 |
As we can see, Mainz 05 have won 4 out of the last 5 contests. The last match ended in a thrilling 3-2 win for Mainz 05 in Augsburg’s backyard.
Interestingly, more than 2.5 goals have been scored in 78% of their encounters over the past five seasons. This matchup consistently delivers exciting, high-scoring affairs.
Given their recent history and scoring trends, fans can look forward to another entertaining fixture.
Odds accurate as of 6th February 2025 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
