Atalanta vs. Lazio Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 6 April 2025 - bettingexpert
On Sunday evening, 6 April 2025, Atalanta will host Lazio at the Gewiss Stadium in a key Serie A clash scheduled for 17:00. Both teams are vying for crucial points as they aim for Champions League qualification next season.
Atalanta, currently sitting in third place with 58 points, are favorites, especially given their strong form at home. However, they have struggled recently with back-to-back losses against Fiorentina and Inter. Key players are expected to return from suspension, but injuries continue to be a concern.
Lazio, on the other hand, are in seventh place with 52 points. They have had a mixed run, recently suffering a heavy 5-0 defeat to Bologna but otherwise managing draws in their Serie A and Europa League fixtures.
Referee Daniele Chiffi will officiate the game, and weather conditions are expected to be moderate. Atalanta’s top scorer, Mateo Retegui, with 22 goals, poses a significant threat, whereas Lazio will miss their top scorer Valentin Castellanos due to injury.
Given recent performances and home advantage, our prediction leans towards an Atalanta victory. The odds are attractive for a home win, making it a recommended bet.
Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tip
Recommending Atalanta to win this clash seems to be the best bet given their superior home form and recent performances. They are also the bookmakers’ favourite.
Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction | |
---|---|
Betting Tip | Odds |
Atalanta to Win | 1.70 |
- Atalanta have scored most of their goals in the time interval 31-45 this season, showcasing their ability to find the net in crucial minutes.
- Lazio have struggled lately, failing to secure a win in their last three matches, including a heavy 5-0 defeat to Bologna.
- Atalanta have an impressive home record and are currently third in Serie A, making them the stronger side in this matchup.
Atalanta vs Lazio Odds
This weekend’s clash between Atalanta and Lazio offers intriguing odds for betting enthusiasts. Atalanta is favored to win, given their robust home form and Lazio’s recent struggles. Here’s a breakdown of the odds:
Atalanta vs Lazio Betting Odds | |
---|---|
Bet | Odds |
Atalanta | 1.70 |
Draw | 3.90 |
Lazio | 4.69 |
Atalanta’s strength at home, combined with Lazio’s recent form, seems to justify these odds. With Atalanta sitting in third place and chasing a secure Champions League spot, they are expected to come out strong against a seventh-placed Lazio team battling for a European spot.
Atalanta Team Analysis
Atalanta Recent Performance
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina | Atalanta | 2025-03-30 | Serie A | 1-0 (Loss) |
Atalanta | Inter | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 0-2 (Loss) |
Juventus | Atalanta | 2025-03-09 | Serie A | 0-4 (Win) |
Atalanta | Venezia | 2025-03-01 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
Empoli | Atalanta | 2025-02-23 | Serie A | 0-5 (Win) |
Recent Form: LLLWD
Atalanta’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with two significant wins, a draw, and two losses. They’ve shown their scoring prowess with an average of 1.80 goals per game and kept three clean sheets in their last five matches. However, back-to-back defeats against Fiorentina and Inter have dampened their spirits slightly. The team will be looking to regain momentum against Lazio.
Atalanta Key Players
Atalanta’s attack will heavily rely on Mateo Retegui, their top scorer with 22 goals this season. With his knack for finding the net, he’s bound to be a constant threat to Lazio’s defense. Ademola Lookman also provides flair and pace in the attack, potentially creating key opportunities. Marten De Roon’s midfield battle against Lazio’s Nicolò Rovella could be a decisive factor, with De Roon’s defensive solidity balancing Atalanta’s forward thrust. Defensively, Marco Carnesecchi in goal has been reliable, backed by Berat Djimsiti and Sead Kolasinac, crucial for keeping Lazio’s Boulaye Dia in check.
Expected lineup for Atalanta:
- Goalkeeper: Marco Carnesecchi
- Defenders: Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac
- Midfielders: Raoul Bellanova, Marten De Roon, Ederson José, Davide Zappacosta
- Attackers: Charles De Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman, Mateo Retegui
Atalanta Suspensions & Injuries
Atalanta will face Lazio with several key players missing due to injuries, which might affect their performance, especially in defense and midfield. Here are the current injuries:
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Erdis Kraja | Cruciate ligament injury | A few days |
Odilon Kossounou | Hamstring injury | Mid April 2025 |
Giorgio Scalvini | Shoulder injury | Mid April 2025 |
Gianluca Scamacca | Hamstring injury | Mid April 2025 |
Stefan Posch | Hamstring injury | Mid April 2025 |
Marco Palestra | Thigh injury | Mid April 2025 |
Rafael Toloi | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
The absence of these players will strain Atalanta’s depth, particularly in the defensive lineup. Losing key figures like Scalvini and Toloi could expose their backline to more pressure from Lazio’s attack. With the return of Ederson José from suspension, however, Atalanta will look to stabilize their midfield.
Atalanta Tactics and Formation
Atalanta Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-1-2
- Key Forward: Mateo Retegui, who is Atalanta’s top scorer with 22 goals this season.
- Midfield Dynamics: The return of Ederson José, paired with Marten De Roon, bolsters the central midfield, crucial for both defense and attack transitions.
- Defensive Strength:
- Atalanta have kept three clean sheets in their last five games, indicating solidity at the back.
- Despite key injuries, shoutout to Marco Carnesecchi in goal for his stellar performances.
- Notable Strategy:
- Atalanta often strives to secure an early advantage, especially effective between the 31-45 minute interval. They’ve scored the most goals during this period.
Their tactical approach focuses on a robust defense transitioning swiftly into counter-attacks, leveraging Retegui’s sharp finishing abilities.
Lazio Team Analysis
Lazio Recent Performance
Lazio’s recent form has been a mixed bag, indicating some inconsistencies. Their last five matches have included two draws, two losses, and one win.
Here are their last five results:
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lazio | Torino | 2025-03-31 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
Bologna | Lazio | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 5-0 (Loss) |
Lazio | Viktoria Plzen | 2025-03-13 | Europa League | 1-1 (Draw) |
Lazio | Udinese | 2025-03-10 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
Viktoria Plzen | Lazio | 2025-03-06 | Europa League | 1-2 (Win) |
Lazio has struggled recently, highlighted by their heavy defeat to Bologna (5-0). They have managed only one clean sheet in their last five games and have an average of 1.00 goals scored per match. This indicates a need for stronger defensive performances and more clinical finishing upfront.
Lazio Key Players
Expected lineup for Lazio:
- Goalkeeper: Ivan Provedel
- Defenders: Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares
- Midfielders: Matias Vecino, Nicolò Rovella, Gustav Isaksen, Boulaye Dia, Mattia Zaccagni
- Forward: Tijjani Noslin
Lazio’s key players include their top scorer Valentin Castellanos, who has netted 9 goals this season. Although suspended for this match, Matteo Guendouzi’s midfield presence will be missed.
Key individual battles to watch include:
- Tijjani Noslin against Atalanta’s robust defense, which boasts 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games.
- Mattia Zaccagni’s creativity will be crucial in breaking down Atalanta’s solid midfield, led by Marten De Roon.
These duels are pivotal in determining Lazio’s chances to upset the odds at Gewiss Stadium.
Lazio Suspensions & Injuries
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Arijon Ibrahimovic | Muscle injury | Mid April 2025 |
Patric | Ankle injury | Mid June 2025 |
Player | Suspension | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Matteo Guendouzi | Yellow cards | Next match |
Lazio will miss Matteo Guendouzi, who is serving a suspension due to accumulated yellow cards. His absence will be felt in midfield, where his dynamism and ball control are crucial.
Arijon Ibrahimovic and Patric are sidelined with injuries. Ibrahimovic is expected back in mid-April, while Patric’s ankle injury will keep him out until mid-June.
These absences could disrupt the team’s defensive stability and midfield creativity, making it challenging to secure a result against Atalanta.
Lazio Tactics and Formation
Lazio’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Tijjani Noslin
- Midfield Duo: Matias Vecino, Nicolò Rovella
- Attacking Trio: Gustav Isaksen, Boulaye Dia, Mattia Zaccagni
- Defensive Setup: Adam Marušić and Nuno Tavares as full-backs
- Key Strengths: High pressing and transitional play
Despite recent defensive struggles, Lazio’s formation is built for a blend of defensive solidity and attacking versatility.
Matias Vecino and Nicolò Rovella offer a defensive shield, while the creative onus falls on Boulaye Dia, supported by dynamic wingers Gustav Isaksen and Mattia Zaccagni.
Expect high energy and pressing, though Matteo Guendouzi’s suspension could hamper their midfield stability.
Adjustments will be crucial to counter Atalanta’s attacking prowess.
Atalanta vs Lazio Head-to-Head Statistics
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lazio | Atalanta | 2024-12-28 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
Atalanta | Lazio | 2024-02-04 | Serie A | 3-1 (Win) |
Lazio | Atalanta | 2023-10-08 | Serie A | 3-2 (Loss) |
Lazio | Atalanta | 2023-02-11 | Serie A | 0-2 (Win) |
Atalanta | Lazio | 2022-10-23 | Serie A | 0-2 (Loss) |
In their last five meetings, Atalanta and Lazio have been fairly evenly matched, with Atalanta winning two games, Lazio also winning two, and one game ending in a draw.
The most recent encounter in December 2024 saw a 1-1 draw, while Atalanta claimed a solid 3-1 win at home in February 2024.
These results underscore the competitive nature of this fixture. Thank you for reading.
Odds accurate as of 04 April 2025 17:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.