Fiorentina vs. Atalanta Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips - bettingexpert
Get ready, football fans, as we gear up for an exciting Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence on Sunday, 30 March 2025. Kick-off is set for 14:00, and this match holds significant implications for both sides.
Fiorentina find themselves in 8th place with 48 points and will look to take advantage of their home ground to push further up the table. Meanwhile, Atalanta sit in 3rd place with 58 points, still in the hunt for the Serie A title, trailing only six points behind the leaders, Inter Milan.
Recent form shows Fiorentina alternating wins and losses (WLWLW), including an impressive 3-0 victory over Juventus. On the other hand, Atalanta come into the game with a slightly less consistent record (LLWDW) but remain unbeaten on the road for their last 12 matches in this tournament.
Several key players will be pivotal in this encounter. Moise Kean, Fiorentina’s top scorer with 15 goals, is expected to lead the line, whereas Atalanta will miss their top scorer Mateo Retegui due to injury.
Given Fiorentina’s solid home form and Atalanta’s unbeaten away streak, a stalemate seems a feasible outcome. Our recommended bet is a draw.
Referee Daniele Doveri will oversee proceedings in what promises to be an enthralling encounter, broadcast live on COSMOTE SPORT 2 and available via various streaming platforms in Greece.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the recent performance and head-to-head statistics, our recommended betting tip for this match is a draw. Both teams have shown solid form, and Atalanta’s unbeaten streak on the road in Serie A further levels the playing field. Here’s how it looks:
| Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.48 |
- Fiorentina has been strong at home, creating a challenging environment for visiting teams.
- Atalanta’s unbeaten streak away enhances the likelihood of a closely contested match.
- Historical encounters hint at tight contests between these sides, making a draw a sensible prediction.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Odds
The odds for this exciting Serie A clash are quite intriguing, reflecting the balanced nature of both teams’ recent form and performances. Atalanta is the bookmakers’ favourite, thanks to their strong away record and current third-place standing.
| Fiorentina vs Atalanta Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Fiorentina | 3.60 |
| Draw | 3.48 |
| Atalanta | 2.03 |
Fiorentina has proven to be a formidable side at home, which balances Atalanta’s unbeaten streak on the road. With both teams scoring an average of two goals per game in their last five matches, expect a tightly contested game where a draw could be the smart bet. Given the competitive history between these teams, this match could very well be another nail-biter.
Fiorentina Team Analysis
Fiorentina Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | Juventus | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 3-0 (Win) |
| Fiorentina | Panathinaikos | 2025-03-13 | Conference League | 3-1 (Win) |
| SSC Napoli | Fiorentina | 2025-03-09 | Serie A | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Panathinaikos | Fiorentina | 2025-03-06 | Conference League | 3-2 (Loss) |
| Fiorentina | Lecce | 2025-02-28 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
Fiorentina’s recent run of form has been quite respectable, alternating between wins and a couple of losses. They have managed to secure three victories out of their last five games, including a high-profile win against Juventus. The team has averaged 2.00 goals per game during this period, displaying their attacking prowess.
Issues in defense are evident, with only 2 clean sheets in their last five games, which could be an area of focus for coach Raffaele Palladino. Their recent performance indicates they can rise to the occasion, especially at home, making them a formidable force at the Artemio Franchi.
Fiorentina Key Players
Fiorentina’s hopes largely rest on the shoulders of Moise Kean, their top scorer with 15 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net consistently makes him a crucial figure against Atalanta’s robust defense. Midfield maestro Danilo Cataldi controls the tempo, supported by Nicolo Fagioli and Rolando Mandragora. Together, they form a creative trio that can unlock the opposition’s backline. Expect the experienced David De Gea to marshal the defense, seeking a third clean sheet in six games.
Players to watch:
- Moise Kean
- Danilo Cataldi
- David De Gea
Expected lineup for Fiorentina:
- Goalkeeper: David De Gea
- Defenders: Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari Villar, Luca Ranieri
- Midfielders: Dodo, Nicolò Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens
- Attackers: Moise Kean, Albert Gudmundsson
Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries
Fiorentina will be without Edoardo Bove for the upcoming match against Atalanta due to ongoing heart problems, with no clear date for his return.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Edoardo Bove | Heart problems | Unknown |
The absence of Bove in midfield could impact Fiorentina’s depth and flexibility, as his energy in the center of the park has been vital. His unavailability means more responsibility will fall on players like Danilo Cataldi and Nicolo Fagioli to maintain control in the midfield. This will test Fiorentina’s squad depth against a strong Atalanta side.
Fiorentina Tactics and Formation
Fiorentina Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Expected Line-up:
- Goalkeeper: David De Gea
- Defenders: Marin Pongračić, Pablo Marí Villar, Luca Ranieri
- Midfielders: Dodo, Nicolò Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens
- Forwards: Moise Kean, Albert Gudmundsson
- Key Forward: Moise Kean (15 goals)
- Midfield Quartet: Featuring the dynamic play of Nicolò Fagioli and Danilo Cataldi to maintain control in midfield and provide playmaking options.
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in their last five games show solid defensive performance, further bolstered by the experience of David De Gea in goal.
- Notable Strategy: Strong utilization of wing play with Dodo and Gosens providing width and crossing options, aiming to disrupt Atalanta’s defensive setup.
Expect Fiorentina to focus heavily on using their wing-backs to stretch the play and create opportunities for their potent strike force.
Atalanta Team Analysis
Atalanta Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | Inter | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Juventus | Atalanta | 2025-03-09 | Serie A | 0-4 (Win) |
| Atalanta | Venezia | 2025-03-01 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Empoli | Atalanta | 2025-02-23 | Serie A | 0-5 (Win) |
| Atalanta | Club Brugge | 2025-02-18 | Champions League Final Stage | 1-3 (Loss) |
Atalanta has shown mixed form in their recent fixtures, marked by a pattern of LLWDW. Despite a couple of recent setbacks, including a 0-2 loss to Inter and a Champions League defeat against Club Brugge, they’ve also demonstrated their offensive capability with emphatic victories over Juventus and Empoli.
They’ve averaged 2 goals per game recently and secured 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches. Atalanta’s defensive resilience and consistent scoring make them a formidable team, especially considering their unbeaten run of 12 away matches. The upcoming clash against Fiorentina could see them aiming to bounce back and secure vital points to strengthen their position in Serie A.
Atalanta Key Players
Expected lineup for Atalanta:
- Goalkeeper: Marco Carnesecchi
- Defenders: Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac
- Midfielders: Raoul Bellanova, Marten De Roon, Mario Pasalic, Davide Zappacosta
- Attackers: Marco Brescianini, Ademola Lookman, Charles De Ketelaere
Atalanta’s top scorer Mateo Retegui, who has netted 22 goals this season, is unlikely to feature due to a hip injury.
Ademola Lookman, with his creative vision and pace, will be critical in making up for the scoring deficit, alongside Charles De Ketelaere’s attacking prowess.
Watch out for Marten De Roon in midfield, whose battles against Fiorentina’s Danilo Cataldi will be key.
Atalanta Suspensions & Injuries
Atalanta are set to be without several key players for the match against Fiorentina due to injuries and suspensions. Here’s a detailed look:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Erdis Kraja | Cruciate ligament injury | A few days |
| Odilon Kossounou | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
| Giorgio Scalvini | Shoulder injury | Doubtful |
| Gianluca Scamacca | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
| Stefan Posch | Hamstring injury | Early April 2025 |
| Juan Cuadrado | Thigh injury | Early April 2025 |
| Mateo Retegui | Hip injury | About 1-2 weeks |
| Marco Palestra | Thigh injury | Doubtful |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ederson José | Yellow/red card | 1 match left |
This extensive list of absentees could significantly impact Atalanta’s performance. Missing their top scorer, Mateo Retegui, due to a hip injury is particularly concerning, as well as the absence of key defenders like Kossounou and Scalvini. The suspension of midfielder Ederson José adds to their midfield woes, potentially disrupting their usual rhythm and strategy.
Expect the team’s depth to be tested as they navigate these challenges.
Atalanta Tactics and Formation
Atalanta’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-1-2
- Key Forward: Charles De Ketelaere
- Midfield Strength: Lookman, Pasalic, and versatile De Roon
- Defensive Trio: Djimsiti, Hien, and Kolasinac
With a strong preference for a 3-4-1-2 formation, Atalanta emphasizes fluidity between defensive resilience and attacking prowess. Key midfielder De Roon provides both defensive cover and ball progression.
Despite key absences, expect their wingbacks, Bellanova and Zappacosta, to offer width and consistently stretch Fiorentina’s defensive lines.
Defensively, the focus will be on maintaining a solid shape, given the team’s notable record of 3 clean sheets in their last 5 encounters.
Their strategy is likely to hinge on using Lookman’s creativity and pace to unlock Fiorentina’s defense, while De Ketelaere leads the line up front.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | Fiorentina | 2024-09-15 | Serie A | 3-2 (Loss) |
| Atalanta | Fiorentina | 2024-06-02 | Serie A | 2-3 (Win) |
| Atalanta | Fiorentina | 2024-04-24 | Coppa Italia | 4-1 (Loss) |
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | 2024-04-03 | Coppa Italia | 1-0 (Win) |
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | 2023-09-17 | Serie A | 3-2 (Win) |
In recent encounters, Fiorentina and Atalanta have engaged in some thrilling matches. Fiorentina has won 3 out of their last 5 games against Atalanta.
Both teams have showcased their attacking prowess, contributing to high-scoring contests. Fiorentina’s resilience at home has been notable, having secured crucial victories in their own backyard.
Expect another tight contest, continuing their tradition of closely fought battles.
Odds accurate as of 28.03.2025 13:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
