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Como vs Atalanta Prediction - Serie A Fixtures

Como-Atalanta
Serie A
Fulltime
ComoComo
1 - 2
AtalantaAtalanta
(HT 1-0)

Como take on Atalanta in an intriguing Serie A clash on 25 January 2025 at 14:00 at Stadio G. Sinigaglia. Despite being lower on the league table, Como have made strategic transfers like Maxence Caqueret and could add Breel Embolo to their ranks. Atalanta, sitting 3rd with 43 points, are bookmaker favourites with odds of 1.85 to win.

The match is critical for both teams. Como, at 13th in the standings, aim to move up from their 22 points, while Atalanta hope to solidify their position after recent mixed form (WLDDL).

Referee Luca Pairetto will officiate, and our match tip leans towards a draw with Como (-1) handicap at odds of 6.4.

Suspensions and injuries impact both sides, so expect a tactical battle. Don’t miss the drama and potential surprises this match promises.

Como vs. Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tip

Como vs. Atalanta Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Draw – Como (-1) Handicap 6.4
  1. Atalanta have scored in 91% of their away matches this season, indicating a b offensive presence.
  2. Como’s recent form at home has shown they can pull off surprising results, like their 4-1 win over Udinese.
  3. Atalanta’s mixed form (WLDDL) suggests inconsistency, making a draw a realistic outcome.

Given Como’s solid performance at home and Atalanta’s inconsistency, a tight match ending in a draw with a Como (-1) handicap is a smart bet. This prediction accounts for Como’s potential to challenge Atalanta, especially with Atalanta balancing Champions League commitments.

Como vs. Atalanta Odds

Como vs. Atalanta Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Como 4.13
Draw 3.61
Atalanta 1.85

Atalanta, sitting third in the Serie A standings, are the bookmakers’ favourites, reflecting their ber season performance. However, Como’s recent form, including a 4-1 win over Udinese, suggests they could be a challenging opponent at home. The odds highlight the potential for either a narrow victory for Atalanta or a surprising draw.

Como Team Analysis

Como’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with a record of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Their recent 4-1 victory over Udinese was a notable confidence booster.

Home team Away team Result
Como Udinese 4-1 (Win)
Como AC Milan 1-2 (Loss)
Lazio Como 1-1 (Draw)
Como Lecce 2-0 (Win)
Inter Como 2-0 (Loss)

Como have averaged 1.6 goals per game in their last five outings, showing they have some firepower in attack, primarily led by top scorer Patrick Cutrone with six goals this season.

Defensively, they’ve kept just one clean sheet in these five games, conceding an average of 1.8 goals, indicating some vulnerability at the back. This could be a key area to address for coach Cesc Fabregas in the upcoming match against Atalanta.

Como Key Players

Como will be looking to key players like Patrick Cutrone, their top scorer with six goals this season, to make an impact against Atalanta. Cutrone’s form will be crucial, especially given Como’s tendency to average 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches. Midfielder Maxence Caqueret, recently signed from Olympique Lyonnais, will also be pivotal in controlling the game and providing creativity in the middle of the park. Given Edoardo Goldaniga’s suspension, Alberto Dossena will have a key role in defense alongside Marc-Oliver Kempf. Expected lineup for Como:

  • Goalkeeper: Jean Butez
  • Defenders: Fellipe Jack, Alberto Dossena, Marc Oliver Kempf, Ignace Van der Brempt, Alieu Fadera
  • Midfielders: Yannik Engelhardt, Lucas Da Cunha, Gabriel Strefezza, Assane Diao
  • Forward: Patrick Cutrone

Como Suspensions & Injuries

Como faces a few challenges regarding squad availability for this match against Atalanta. Suspensions will impact Como’s defensive lineup:

Player Suspension Expected return
Edoardo Goldaniga Yellow/red card 01/28/2025

Injuries also pose a concern, although less severe:

Player Injury Expected return
Sergi Roberto Muscle injury Doubtful

Goldaniga’s suspension means Alberto Dossena and Marc-Oliver Kempf will need to be particularly solid at the back. Sergi Roberto’s potential absence might limit options in midfield, making Maxence Caqueret’s role even more crucial in dictating play.

Como Tactics and Formation

Como Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-2-1
  • Key Forward: Patrick Cutrone
  • Midfield Players: Yannik Engelhardt, Lucas Da Cunha
  • Defensive Strength: Solid backline with Butez, Dossena, and Kempf.

Coach Cesc Fabregas will likely maintain his 3-4-2-1 setup, leveraging Cutrone’s prowess up front. The midfield quartet led by Engelhardt and Da Cunha will aim to control possession and enhance creativity. With Goldaniga suspended, Dossena and Kempf must be rock-solid defensively.

Playing at home in Stadio G. Sinigaglia, Como’s strategy will focus on pressing high and utilizing swift transitional plays, hoping to capitalize on any lapses in Atalanta’s defensive formation.

Atalanta Team Analysis

Atalanta has had a mixed bag of results recently, with their past five matches showing a form of WLDDL. Their performances exhibit flashes of brilliance, as seen in their dominant 5-0 win over Sturm Graz, but also some struggles, such as the losses to Napoli and Inter. The team has managed to maintain an average goal-scoring rate of 1.60 goals per game and kept two clean sheets during this period. However, their defensive frailties were exposed in some encounters.

Home team Away team Result
Atalanta Sturm Graz 5-0 (Win)
Atalanta SSC Napoli 2-3 (Loss)
Atalanta Juventus 1-1 (Draw)
Udinese Atalanta 0-0 (Draw)
Inter Atalanta 2-0 (Loss)

Given their high-scoring nature and propensity to find the net in 91% of away matches, Atalanta’s offensive line remains a significant threat, especially with Mateo Retegui leading the charge.

Atalanta Key Players

Expected lineup for Atalanta:

  • Goalkeeper: Marco Carnesecchi
  • Defenders: Giorgio Scalvini, Berat Djimsiti, Sead Kolasinac
  • Midfielders: Raoul Bellanova, Marten De Roon, Ederson José, Matteo Ruggeri
  • Attackers: Lazar Samardzic, Ademola Lookman, Mateo Retegui

Atalanta’s key players include their top scorer Mateo Retegui with 14 goals this season. His performances have been pivotal, especially given Atalanta’s impressive scoring record in away games. Lazar Samardzic and Ademola Lookman will be crucial in supplying Retegui with chances, and Marten De Roon in midfield is always a steadying influence. In defense, Giorgio Scalvini and Berat Djimsiti will need to be at their best to counter Como’s main threat, Patrick Cutrone. The matchup between these defenders and Cutrone will be a key battle to watch.

Atalanta Suspensions & Injuries

Player Injury Expected return
Erdis Kraja Cruciate ligament injury A few days
Gianluca Scamacca Cruciate ligament injury Mid March 2025
Odilon Kossounou Hamstring injury Mid April 2025
Nicolò Zaniolo Muscle injury Early February 2025
Isak Hien Yellow cards 1 match left

Atalanta are dealing with several significant injuries, which could impact their squad depth. Erdis Kraja and Gianluca Scamacca are out with cruciate ligament injuries, while Odilon Kossounou’s hamstring injury sidelines him until mid-April 2025. Nicolò Zaniolo is expected back by early February. Additionally, their key defender Isak Hien is serving a one-match suspension due to yellow card accumulation, which might weaken their defensive lineup against Como. This situation could provide Como with an edge to exploit.

Atalanta Tactics and Formation

Atalanta Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-1-2
  • Key Forward: Mateo Retegui
  • Midfield Duo: Marten De Roon, Ederson José
  • Defensive setup: Three centre-backs supported by wing-backs
  • Notable Strategy: High pressing and quick transitions

Under Gian Piero Gasperini, Atalanta is known for its aggressive pressing and rapid transitions from defense to attack. Their typical 3-4-1-2 formation sees Mateo Retegui leading the line, supported by attacking midfielders, with Lazar Samardzic playing just behind the strikers. With a solid midfield pairing of Marten De Roon and Ederson José, they balance defensive duties with offensive support. Despite several injuries, Atalanta’s defensive setup, particularly with Marco Carnesecchi in goal and a central back trio, remains formidable. Expect them to utilize their wing-backs to create width and overload the flanks, aiming to exploit any defensive frailties in Como’s setup.

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