Atalanta vs. Cagliari Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 15 February 2025 - bettingexpert
Get ready for an intriguing clash as Atalanta hosts Cagliari at the Gewiss Stadium for their 25th round fixture in Serie A. With Atalanta sitting 3rd in the league on 50 points and Cagliari at 13th with 24 points, the stakes are high for both teams.
Referee Matteo Marchetti will oversee the match, which kicks off at 14:00. Atalanta enters as the favorite, boasting odds of 1.44 to win. The home team is coming off a controversial 1-2 defeat to Club Brugge, where a dubious penalty decision left coach Gian Piero Gasperini fuming. Still, expectations are high as Atalanta showed their scoring potential in a recent 5-0 thrashing of Hellas Verona, where Mateo Retegui netted four goals.
Cagliari, coached by Davide Nicola, aims to build on their recent 2-1 victory against Parma. Yet, their defensive woes persist with no clean sheets in their last five games.
Prediction: Given Atalanta’s strong form and Cagliari’s struggles, a home win looks likely.
Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tip
For the upcoming Atalanta vs Cagliari match, our recommended betting tip is an Atalanta win. Here is why:
| Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Atalanta to Win | 1.44 |
- Home Advantage: Atalanta is playing at the Gewiss Stadium, where they generally perform well.
- Stronger Form: Atalanta sits 3rd in the league with a solid performance track this season, while Cagliari is 13th and struggling defensively.
- Scoring Streak: Atalanta has scored in their last 5 consecutive Serie A matches, showing consistent offensive capability.
Given these factors, an Atalanta win appears to be the most likely outcome.
Atalanta vs Cagliari Odds
Here’s a breakdown of the betting odds for the upcoming Serie A clash between Atalanta and Cagliari:
| Atalanta vs Cagliari Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Atalanta | 1.44 |
| Draw | 4.64 |
| Cagliari | 6.60 |
Atalanta are strong favourites to secure a victory, evident from the 1.44 odds. Their impressive form and home advantage play a significant role in these odds.
A draw is slightly more rewarding at 4.64, while an away victory for Cagliari offers a high return, standing at 6.60. Considering Atalanta’s consistent scoring streak and Cagliari’s defensive struggles, the odds heavily favour a home win.
Atalanta Team Analysis
Atalanta Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Club Bruges | Atalanta | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Verona | Atalanta | 0-5 (Win) |
| Atalanta | Bologna | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Atalanta | Torino | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Barcelona | Atalanta | 2-2 (Draw) |
Atalanta’s recent form has been a mixed bag with 1 win, 2 losses, and 2 draws in their last five games. They have managed to maintain an average of 1.80 goals per game but have only kept one clean sheet, indicating some defensive frailties.
Their upset against Club Bruges was particularly contentious due to a controversial penalty decision. Despite this, Atalanta remains a strong offensive unit, evidenced by their 5-0 thrashing of Hellas Verona and a consistent scoring streak in Serie A.
Atalanta Key Players
Mateo Retegui is undoubtedly the key man for Atalanta, having netted 20 goals in 24 matches in Serie A this season. His clinical finishing will be essential if Atalanta is to break down Cagliari’s defense. Another player to watch is Charles De Ketelaere, whose creative prowess in the attacking midfield role will be crucial.
On the defensive side, Rui Patricio’s experience and shot-stopping abilities will be vital in ensuring Atalanta keeps a clean sheet. Stefan Posch and Berat Djimsiti will have to be alert at the back to deal with Cagliari’s counter-attacks.
Expected lineup for Atalanta:
- Goalkeeper: Rui Patricio
- Defenders: Stefan Posch, Isak Hien, Berat Djimsiti
- Midfielders: Juan Cuadrado, Marten De Roon, Ederson José, Davide Zappacosta
- Attackers: Lazar Samardzic, Charles De Ketelaere, Mateo Retegui
Atalanta Suspensions & Injuries
Atalanta is facing a significant injury crisis, with several key players sidelined. This could affect their squad depth and performance against Cagliari.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Erdis Kraja | Cruciate ligament injury | A few days |
| Odilon Kossounou | Hamstring injury | Late February 2025 |
| Ademola Lookman | Knee injury | Late February 2025 |
| Giorgio Scalvini | Shoulder injury | Early March 2025 |
| Sead Kolasinac | Thigh injury | Late February 2025 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | Hamstring injury | Early March 2025 |
| Daniel Maldini | Muscle injury | Late February 2025 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | Virus | A few days |
These injuries will force coach Gian Piero Gasperini to rely on his squad’s depth, possibly affecting their attacking dynamism and defensive stability. Mateo Retegui’s form will be crucial in overcoming these challenges.
Atalanta Tactics and Formation
Atalanta Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-1-2
- Key Forward: Mateo Retegui
- Midfield Engine: Marten de Roon, Ederson, Mario Pasalic
- Defensive Setup: Three center-backs with Rui Patricio in goal
- Wing Play: Juan Cuadrado and Davide Zappacosta providing width
- Notable Strategy: Scoring the majority of goals in the 31-45 minute interval.
Atalanta’s approach under Gian Piero Gasperini relies on aggressive wing play and solid midfield control. Their 3-4-1-2 formation aims to overpower opponents with dynamic transitions from defense to attack. Despite their recent defensive vulnerabilities, the focus remains on high intensity and maintaining offensive pressure throughout the match.
Cagliari Team Analysis
Cagliari Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2-1 (Win) |
| Cagliari | Lazio | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Torino | Cagliari | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Cagliari | Lecce | 4-1 (Win) |
| AC Milan | Cagliari | 1-1 (Draw) |
Cagliari’s recent form has been a mixed bag with 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw. They have managed to score a respectable average of 1.60 goals per game in their last five outings. However, defensive frailties are evident as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in these matches. Despite their fluctuating form, they showed a strong attack with notable performances against Lecce and Parma Calcio 1913.
Cagliari Key Players
Expected lineup for Cagliari:
- Goalkeeper: Elia Caprile
- Defenders: Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto, Tommaso Augello
- Midfielders: Nadir Zortea, Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Mattia Felici
- Attacking midfielder: Nicolas Viola
- Center forward: Roberto Piccoli
Roberto Piccoli is the standout player for Cagliari, having netted 6 goals this season, and will be a key attacking threat.
Midfield battles will be crucial, with Antoine Makoumbou and Michel Adopo expected to go head-to-head with Atalanta’s Ederson and Marten De Roon.
Nicolas Viola’s creativity from the attacking midfield position will be vital for breaking down Atalanta’s defense.
Defensively, Yerry Mina’s aerial ability and commanding presence will be central to Cagliari’s efforts to thwart Atalanta’s potent attack led by Mateo Retegui.
Cagliari Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Giuseppe Ciocci | Shoulder injury | Doubtful |
Cagliari head into this match with only one notable injury concern, which is Giuseppe Ciocci’s shoulder injury. While this may not significantly impact their starting lineup since Ciocci isn’t a regular starter, it does thin their goalkeeping options if needed.
No suspensions are listed for Cagliari, so coach Davide Nicola will have the luxury of a near full-strength squad. This could be pivotal against a formidable Atalanta side. However, they must watch for further injuries and fouls during the match, which could place extra strain on in-form players like Roberto Piccoli and Nicolas Viola.
Cagliari Tactics and Formation
Cagliari’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-1-1
- Key Forward: Roberto Piccoli
- Midfield Quartet: Nadir Zortea, Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Mattia Felici
- Defensive Stability: Struggled defensively with no clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Aiming to bolster their midfield to control the game, relying on the creativity of Nicolas Viola in the attacking midfielder role.
Cagliari will likely adopt their usual 4-4-1-1 formation, with Roberto Piccoli spearheading the attack. Expect them to focus on pressing high and trying to exploit Atalanta’s defensive lapses, particularly in the 46-60 minute interval where Atalanta has been vulnerable. Keeping a compact midfield will be crucial against a dominant Atalanta side.
Atalanta vs Cagliari Head-to-Head Statistics
The last five meetings between Atalanta and Cagliari have resulted in a mix of outcomes, with Atalanta holding the upper hand in recent encounters. Let’s break down the previous matchups:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | Atalanta | 0-1 |
| Cagliari | Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Atalanta | Cagliari | 2-0 |
| Atalanta | Cagliari | 1-2 |
| Cagliari | Atalanta | 1-2 |
Atalanta have managed to score in each of these matches, showcasing their offensive strength. However, the last five encounters indicate that Cagliari have also been capable of pulling off victories against their stronger opponent, suggesting this upcoming match could offer some surprises.
Odds accurate as of 13.02.2025 14:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
