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AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction - Champions League

AC Milan-Liverpool
Champions League
Fulltime
AC MilanAC Milan
1 - 3
LiverpoolLiverpool
(HT 1-2)

Current form suggests Liverpool, the bookmakers’ favourite, have the edge despite a recent loss to Nottingham Forest. They have had a solid start to their domestic season compared to Milan’s mixed results.

Expect Liverpool, who have shown better form with three clean sheets in their last five games, to be the safer bet. The match will be officiated by Espen Eskaas under clear skies, with a temperature of 19°C.

Recommended bet: Liverpool to win at odds of 2.3.

AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tip

Considering the matchup between AC Milan and Liverpool, the recommended bet is for Liverpool to win. This recommendation is based on several factors pointing to Liverpool’s advantage:

  1. Previous Encounters: The last encounter at San Siro ended 1-2 in Liverpool’s favor.
  2. Current Form: Liverpool has shown better form recently, with three clean sheets in their last five games compared to Milan’s single clean sheet.
  3. Odds and Expert Consensus: Liverpool is the bookmaker favorite, reflecting their ber condition and performance metrics.
AC Milan vs. Liverpool Prediction
Betting Tip Odds
Liverpool to win 2.3
  • Liverpool has a solid track record in recent head-to-head encounters.
  • Current form favors Liverpool, showing better defensive and offensive stability.
  • Expert consensus and bookmaker odds indicate high value in betting on Liverpool to secure a win.

AC Milan vs Liverpool Odds

When it comes to the upcoming clash at San Siro, the betting odds are tilting in favor of Liverpool, highlighting their perceived strength and form. Current odds for the match are as follows:

AC Milan vs. Liverpool Betting Odds
Bet Odds
AC Milan 3.66
Draw 3.78
Liverpool 1.96

AC Milan Team Analysis

AC Milan has displayed a mix of results in their last five matches, managing two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their form reads as WDLDW:

Home team Away team Result
AC Milan Venezia 4-0 (Win)
Lazio AC Milan 2-2 (Draw)
Parma Calcio 1913 AC Milan 2-1 (Loss)
AC Milan Torino 2-2 (Draw)
AC Milan Monza 3-1 (Win)

However, Milan’s defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having only kept one clean sheet. Their upcoming fixture against Liverpool will be a true test of their resilience and unity under new coach Paulo Fonseca.

AC Milan Key Players

AC Milan’s squad boasts several key players who could make a significant impact against Liverpool. While they lack a standout top scorer, players like Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leão have shown their attacking capabilities. Rafael Leão’s pace on the left wing will be vital, potentially causing trouble for Liverpool’s defence.

Pulisic, operating from the right, could exploit spaces left by Liverpool’s attacking full-backs. Defensively, Theo Hernandez’s bombing runs from left-back and Fikayo Tomori’s solidity at the heart of the defence will be crucial to countering Liverpool’s potent attack. Expected lineup for AC Milan:

  • Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
  • Defenders: Davide Calabria, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlović, Theo Hernandez
  • Midfielders: Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • Wingers: Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leão
  • Forward: Álvaro Morata

AC Milan Suspensions & Injuries

AC Milan enters this crucial Champions League opener with notable absences due to injuries, which could significantly affect their strategy against Liverpool.

Player Injury Expected return
Marco Sportiello Ligament injury Early October 2024
Malick Thiaw Ankle injury Early October 2024
Alessandro Florenzi Cruciate ligament injury Early February 2025
Ismaël Bennacer Ankle injury Early December 2024

AC Milan Tactics and Formation

AC Milan Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Álvaro Morata
  • Midfield Trio: Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Christian Pulisic, Tijjani Reijnders
  • Defensive Line: Strahinja Pavlovic and Fikayo Tomori in central defense, flanked by Theo Hernandez and Davide Calabria

With a 4-2-3-1 setup, AC Milan aims to solidify the midfield and create dynamic attacking opportunities. Paulo Fonseca’s side will look to utilize the pace and skill of Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic on the wings, while hoping to control the midfield through Reijnders and Loftus-Cheek. The key to their strategy will be maintaining a better defensive line and exploiting Liverpool’s high-pressing game with quick counterattacks.

Liverpool Team Analysis

Liverpool have shown mixed form in their last five matches, securing three wins, one draw, and suffering one defeat. They have managed an average of 1.40 goals per game while maintaining an impressive defensive record with four clean sheets.

Home team Away team Result
Liverpool Nottingham Forest 0-1 (Loss)
Manchester United Liverpool 0-3 (Win)
Liverpool Brentford 2-0 (Win)
Ipswich Town Liverpool 0-2 (Win)
Liverpool Las Palmas 0-0 (Draw)

Liverpool Key Players

Liverpool’s squad boasts a number of key players, making them formidable opponents. Expected lineup for Liverpool:

  • Goalkeeper: Alisson
  • Defenders: Trent Alexander-Arnold, Jarell Quansah, Virgil Van Dijk, Konstantinos Tsimikas
  • Midfielders: Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai
  • Attackers: Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Darwin Núñez

Mohamed Salah will be crucial for Liverpool with his pace and finishing ability on the right wing. Virgil Van Dijk will anchor the defense, looking to maintain their impressive record of clean sheets. Key individual battles include Salah against Theo Hernandez, and Núñez facing off with Fikayo Tomori. With players like Szoboszlai providing creativity in midfield, Liverpool’s lineup is well-balanced and dangerous in attack.

Liverpool Suspensions & Injuries

Liverpool are facing several injuries that could impact their performance against AC Milan. Here’s a detailed look at their current injury list:

Player Injury Expected return
Joel Matip Cruciate ligament injury Out for season
Federico Chiesa Lack of fitness Doubtful
Harvey Elliot Broken foot Late October 2024

Liverpool Tactics and Formation

Liverpool’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-3-3
  • Key Forward: Darwin Núñez
  • Midfield Trio: Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai
  • Defensive Strength: Four clean sheets in their last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Exploit wide areas with the pace of Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo

Arne Slot’s side will employ a 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing both defensive solidity and attacking prowess. They have demonstrated formidable defensive capabilities, securing four clean sheets in their last five outings.

Their midfield, anchored by Gravenberch and Mac Allister, is designed to control the tempo, while Szoboszlai will provide the creative spark.

Upfront, Núñez will be the main threat, supported by the electric pace and skill of Salah and Gakpo on the wings. Expect Liverpool to utilize their wing play to stretch AC Milan’s defense and create scoring opportunities from wide areas.

AC Milan vs Liverpool Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head stats between AC Milan and Liverpool tell a story of dramatic and high-scoring encounters. Their last five meetings have provided plenty of excitement, with many goals scored by both sides. Here’s a closer look at their recent clashes:

Home Away Result
Liverpool AC Milan 4-1
AC Milan Liverpool 1-2
Liverpool AC Milan 3-2
AC Milan Liverpool 2-1
AC Milan Liverpool 3-3 (Penalties: 2-3)

 

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