Lecce vs. AC Milan Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 8 March 2025 - bettingexpert

Lecce will host AC Milan at the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero – Via del Mare on 8 March 2025 at 17:00 in a crucial Serie A clash. Lecce, currently 16th in the table with 25 points, find themselves just above the relegation zone and are in desperate need of a win after going four games without a victory. Marco Giampaolo’s side will need to rely on their defense, which has kept two clean sheets in the last five matches, to hold off a determined AC Milan.

AC Milan, sitting 9th with 41 points, are aiming to bounce back after three consecutive losses. Sérgio Conceição’s team will be without key players like Mike Maignan and Strahinja Pavlovic due to suspensions. Despite their recent slump, Milan are the bookmakers’ favorites with odds of 1.76 to win, reflecting their strong historical performance against Lecce. The visitors have won three out of their last five encounters, with two ending in draws.

Expect an intense match as both teams push for crucial points. Considering the form and head-to-head dominance, our prediction tips towards an AC Milan victory.

Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tip

AC Milan is favored to win against Lecce based on historical head-to-head dominance and current standings. Despite recent struggles, Milan’s overall performance and stronger squad depth make them strong contenders.

Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
AC Milan to Win	1.76

• AC Milan has a strong historical performance against Lecce, winning three out of their last five encounters.
• Lecce has not won in their last four Serie A matches, indicating a struggle to secure points recently.
• Bookmakers reflect confidence in an AC Milan victory with odds of 1.76.

Backing AC Milan to win looks like a solid bet, given their higher position in the table, past head-to-head success, and the fact that Lecce has been struggling for form.

Lecce vs AC Milan Odds

AC Milan is the bookmaker’s favorite to win this clash against Lecce, reflecting their superior positioning in the Serie A table and historical dominance over their opponents.

Lecce vs AC Milan Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Lecce	4.52
Draw	3.68
AC Milan	1.76

Despite Milan’s recent dips in form, their overall performance throughout the season and strength in the squad are critical factors that give them the edge.
Lecce, on the other hand, has a less favorable record, and their struggles in recent matches further add to Milan’s chances of securing a win.

Lecce Team Analysis

Lecce Recent Performance

Lecce has had a tough time lately, as evident in their recent form with two losses and two draws before securing a win.

Home team	Away team	Result
Fiorentina	Lecce	1-0 (Loss)
Lecce	Udinese	0-1 (Loss)
Monza	Lecce	0-0 (Draw)
Lecce	Bologna	0-0 (Draw)
Parma Calcio 1913	Lecce	1-3 (Win)

Lecce has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.60 goals per game in their last five matches. Despite this, they’ve managed to secure two clean sheets, showing strength in defense.
However, their lack of victories in the past four matches puts them under pressure. Sitting at 16th with 25 points, every match is critical to avoid relegation. Key scorers like Nikola Krstović, who has seven goals this season, will be crucial for an offensive spark.

Lecce Key Players

Nikola Krstovic stands out as Lecce’s top scorer, having netted seven goals this season. His performance will be pivotal, especially against Milan’s formidable defence. Lecce will also look to Lassana Coulibaly and Medon Berisha to control the midfield and provide crucial support to the attack.
Defensively, Federico Baschirotto and Gaby Jean will be key in thwarting Milan’s attacking threats from players like Rafael Leao and Santiago Gimenez.

Expected lineup for Lecce:

• Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone
• Defenders: Frédéric Guilbert, Federico Baschirotto, Gaby Jean, Antonino Gallo
• Midfielders: Lassana Coulibaly, Medon Berisha, Santiago Pierotti, Balthazar Pierret, Tete Morente
• Forwards: Nikola Krstovic

Individual battles, such as Krstovic against Milan’s centre-backs Malick Thiaw and Fikayo Tomori, could be decisive.

Lecce Suspensions & Injuries

Lecce are dealing with a crucial injury that could impact their performance against AC Milan.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Filip Marchwinski	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season

Filip Marchwinski’s absence for the remainder of the season is a significant blow for Lecce. The team will need to find a way to cope without his contributions in the midfield, which could put additional pressure on other players to step up.
The Lecce squad remains free from suspensions, allowing them to deploy their best available lineup against AC Milan.

Lecce Tactics and Formation

Lecce Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Nikola Krstovic
• Midfield Pair: Lassana Coulibaly, Medon Berisha
• Defensive Setup: Two clean sheets in the last five games, indicating a solid backline.
• Notable Strategy: Lecce will likely aim to maintain a compact formation, relying on Krstovic’s scoring ability to capitalize on counter-attacks.

Lecce has had success with a 4-2-3-1 formation, particularly in their win against Parma. The midfield pair of Coulibaly and Berisha will be crucial in breaking up Milan’s attacks and distributing the ball forward. Manager Marco Giampaolo will emphasize a disciplined defensive approach, given Milan’s capability to score frequently.

With Krstovic as their top scorer, Lecce’s strategy will focus on providing him with opportunities, hoping to exploit Milan’s recent defensive vulnerabilities.

AC Milan Team Analysis

AC Milan Recent Performance

AC Milan’s recent form has been a mixed bag with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. Their form shows:

Home team	Away team	Result
AC Milan	Lazio	1-2 (Loss)
Bologna	AC Milan	2-1 (Loss)
Torino	AC Milan	2-1 (Loss)
AC Milan	Feyenoord	1-1 (Draw)
AC Milan	Verona	1-0 (Win)

AC Milan has managed an average of 1.00 goals scored and just 1 clean sheet in their last five games. Despite their recent slump in domestic competitions, the team’s history and current standings suggest that they have a solid foundation to bounce back. Coach Sérgio Conceição will be aiming to leverage their historical success and break their three-match losing streak. The current squad’s depth and talent, particularly with Tijjani Reijnders on the scoresheet, provide a glimmer of hope for an upswing as they head into this fixture.

AC Milan Key Players

Expected lineup for AC Milan:

• Goalkeeper: Marco Sportiello
• Defenders: Kyle Walker, Malick Thiaw, Fikayo Tomori, Theo Hernandez
• Midfielders: Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Christian Pulisic, João Félix, Rafael Leão
• Forward: Santiago Giménez

Tijjani Reijnders, the team’s top scorer with 8 goals, will be a key player to watch. His ability to drive the ball forward and score will be crucial for AC Milan.

Rafael Leão, a pivotal figure on the left wing, will look to exploit Lecce’s defensive vulnerabilities, while Christian Pulisic, on the right wing, can create significant goal-scoring opportunities.

One interesting battle to watch will be Santiago Giménez against Lecce’s centre-backs, Federico Baschirotto and Gaby Jean.

AC Milan Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Alessandro Florenzi	Cruciate ligament injury	Late April 2025
Ruben Loftus-Cheek	Hamstring injury	Mid March 2025
Emerson Royal	Thigh injury	Mid March 2025

Player	Suspension	Expected return
Strahinja Pavlovic	Red card	1 match ban left
Mike Maignan	Post-match sanction	1 match ban left

AC Milan will be missing key players in their match against Lecce, with both Strahinja Pavlovic and Mike Maignan sidelined due to suspensions. This will force Coach Sérgio Conceição to make significant adjustments to the team’s defensive lineup. The absence of Maignan, their first-choice goalkeeper, might particularly affect AC Milan’s defensive solidity.

In addition, injury woes continue with Alessandro Florenzi out for the rest of the season and the potential mid-March returns of Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Emerson Royal, which could add depth to the squad in upcoming fixtures.

AC Milan Tactics and Formation

AC Milan’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Santiago Giménez
• Midfield Trio: Youssouf Fofana, Tijjani Reijnders, João Félix
• Defensive Strength: Strong backline anchored by Theo Hernandez and Fikayo Tomori

Coach Sérgio Conceição typically deploys a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing a balance between defense and attack. Santiago Giménez leads the front line, while João Félix provides creative flair from the attacking midfield position. The double pivot of Youssouf Fofana and Tijjani Reijnders adds stability and ball retrieval in midfield. However, with key players like Maignan and Pavlovic suspended, AC Milan’s defensive solidity could be tested, necessitating a robust performance from the fullbacks and centre-backs. Expect aggressive wing play from Pulisic and Leão to stretch Lecce’s defense.

Lecce vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Statistics

The last five meetings between Lecce and AC Milan have shown clear dominance by the Rossoneri.

Home	Away	Result
AC Milan	Lecce	3-0
AC Milan	Lecce	3-0
Lecce	AC Milan	2-2
AC Milan	Lecce	2-0
Lecce	AC Milan	2-2

AC Milan have secured victories in three of their last five encounters, with a couple of high-scoring draws mixed in.
These results reflect AC Milan’s strength and consistency when facing Lecce, bolstering their morale going into this match.

Odds accurate as of 06/03/2025 17:03, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.