Ive given up on predicting Sports. I have no idea at all. You cant really predict because there are too many factors in sport such as: injuries, psychological, personal life situations, training, fitness, absences, trying out new techniques, roster changes, formation changes, staff changes, financial incentive, location, luck, aggressiveness. Im not even sure how you could possibly measure that, especially in a team game. Then bookmakers are already using historical statistics to determine a possibility of an event occurring. So realistically in order to win at evens, you are going against the analysis. Im more into systems and value bets. Currently working on a Tennis Framework that compares players against each other. I believe a steady system with value bets could return a profit.