Santa Catarina +1.50 (AH)
Criciuma may be stumbling lately, but the home turf advantage is key. They've edged out Athletico Paranaense in 3 of their last 6 home meetings, and Paranaense's away form is shaky, with goal droughts in a third of their away matches. History's not on Criciuma's side, but with recent form and home stats, "Draw No Bet" leans