The visitors have scored more goals and they are almost 10 points away from the home team and therefore the home team might be able to relax and prepare for the playoffs. The visitors have been performing much better and they should be able to win here on the road
The visitors won the last head to head game against the home team and they should be able to continue performing well. They have scored more goals than they have a decent defense and they should be able to win this game despite playing on the road against one of the top teams