Under 47.5 points
The Colts lean heavily on their running game, particularly with Jonathan Taylor back in action. A ground-focused approach chews up clock and limits possessions, making shootouts less likely.
Rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson (or Gardner Minshew, if starting) has shown flashes but isn't leading a high-octane offense capable of consistent explosive plays.
Lions’ Balanced Approach:
Detroit's offense is dynamic but not always high-scoring, particularly against disciplined defenses like Indianapolis. Jared Goff thrives on efficiency rather than rapid scoring, which suits a game with longer drives and fewer points.
The Lions’ defense has shown improvement, especially in containing the run, which could further stall the Colts’ scoring opportunities.
Pace of Play:
Both teams tend to operate at a moderate pace, focusing on controlling the game rather than engaging in high-scoring exchanges. Fewer total possessions support the under.
Defensive Matchup:
The Colts’ defense, despite some inconsistencies, has the ability to generate pressure and disrupt Detroit’s rhythm, especially with a solid pass rush.
Detroit’s defensive line can contain Indianapolis’ ground game, further limiting big scoring opportunities.