Más 3 goles
ENGLAND: Championship - Matchday 23
Coventry, 17th in the table with 24 points (28 goals scored and 34 conceded), hosts Plymouth, the bottom-ranked team with 18 points (22 goals scored and 45 conceded). On paper, this match looks like a straightforward one for the home side, as they face one of the league's worst defenses.
However, instead of focusing on the 1X2 market, I’m looking at goals. Plymouth has been incredibly leaky at the back, conceding a staggering 17 goals in their last five matches. They’ve featured in high-scoring affairs regularly, with matches hitting the 6- or 7-goal mark, such as their heavy defeat to Norwich or the thrilling draw with Middlesbrough.
Plymouth comes into this match after a rough run of form, with four losses and a single draw in their last five games. Considering their struggles, I expect Coventry to claim a comfortable victory, potentially with a wide margin. Anything other than a dominant home win would be a significant surprise.
That said, I believe the best betting angle here lies in the goals market. Given Plymouth’s defensive frailties and Coventry’s recent consistency in high-scoring games, the over 3.0 goals market looks like the smartest play in this matchup.