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NFL Predictions and Expert Picks

Even if the NFL season is very short, there are plenty of matches played where you can make your predictions. A great thing about the league is that there’s a lot of data being collected and shared which you can use to your advantage. Combining it with our experts’ opinion, you will have enough information to make the best betting decision.

NFL Divisional Round 2025 Preview

The NFL Divisional Round is set to deliver intense matchups as the final eight teams vie for a spot in the Conference Championships.

Saturday Night Showdown
The action begins with the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Houston Texans. The Chiefs, perennial playoff contenders, bring experience and firepower, led by their elite quarterback. The Texans, riding high after their Wild Card victory, will need to replicate their resilience and creativity to have a chance at pulling off an upset.

Late-Night NFC Matchup
In the early hours of Sunday, the Detroit Lions take on the Washington Commanders. The Lions, one of the league’s surprise packages, boast a dynamic offense. Meanwhile, Washington’s stout defense and opportunistic playstyle will look to silence Detroit’s momentum in this intriguing NFC clash.

Sunday’s High-Stakes Games
The Philadelphia Eagles face the Los Angeles Rams in a battle between two high-powered offenses. With the Eagles excelling in the air and on the ground, and the Rams relying on their defense and star playmakers, this could be the weekend’s most thrilling encounter.

Over in the AFC, the Buffalo Bills travel to face the Baltimore Ravens in a heavyweight clash. Both teams are evenly matched with dynamic quarterbacks, making this a true battle of wills under the playoff spotlight.

NFL Season Start 2023/24

NFL Predictions Today

During the winter period, it will be hard for the offensive line for every team which will result in more runs instead of passes. A great tip is to find the top teams with a great passing game and focus on them. Or, your NFL predictions can focus on teams like Philadelphia, the Eagle’s defensive line is very strong which helped them reach the number one spot in their group. They will definitely play even better during rain and snowy weather.

NFL Stats

If you’re thinking of betting on the NFL, a good start is to consider a large sample size of betting stats. This can help you identify historical biases present in the market and advantages for teams in certain situations. Let’s first look at straight-up win-loss betting stats.

Straight Up Win-Loss NFL Stats

Below we can see win and loss percentages for teams in certain situations. For example, we can see that home teams win just over 57% of football games. Historically home-field advantage has been worth around 3 points, but this has been challenged recently, with many now believing the advantage to be around 2 points. We can also see an advantage for teams coming off a bye week. Teams in such situations have won just over 55% of their games since 2003.

Situation WIN PCT LOSS PCT
Home Teams 57.4% 42.6%
Away Teams 42.6% 57.4%
Favourites 66.6% 33.4%
Underdogs 33.4% 66.6%
Home Favourites 67.7% 32.3%
Home Underdogs 35.9% 64.1%
Away Favourites 64.1% 35.9%
Away Underdogs 32.3% 67.7%
After A Bye Week 55.1% 44.9%
After A Win 54.0% 46.0%
After A Loss 45.8% 54.2%

Betting Picks Against The Spread (ATS) NFL Stats

When we consider picks against the spread, we can identify a few market biases to consider when betting on NFL games. Firstly, away teams have won just over 51% of bets against the spread since 2003, likewise, underdogs have won almost 51%.

As a result, we can see that underdogs playing away games have won against the spread almost 52% of the time. While 52% is not a strike rate to profit given standard bookmaker odds of 1.90 for NFL spread betting, it is certainly a bias to keep in mind. Further, we can see that teams coming off a bye have covered the spread in just over 52% of games.

Situation ATS WIN PCT ATS LOSS PCT
Home Teams 48.8% 51.2%
Away Teams 51.2% 48.8%
Favourites 49.2% 50.8%
Underdogs 50.8% 49.2%
Home Favourites 48.4% 51.6%
Home Underdogs 49.4% 50.6%
Away Favourites 50.6% 49.4%
Away Underdogs 51.6% 48.4%
After A Bye Week 52.1% 47.9%
After A Win 49.6% 50.4%
After A Loss 50.5% 49.5%

Over Under NFL Stats

When we look at points totals, we can see a distinct bias in games featuring teams from the same division, with those games finishing under the points total line just over 53% of the time since 2003. This can be explained by the fact that divisional teams play each other twice each season and are therefore defensively better prepared than when playing teams out of division.

In non-division games and non-conference games, where teams play each other rarely, these games have finished with over the points total line, almost 52% of the team—another bias to keep in mind when betting on NFL points totals.

Situation OVER WIN PCT UNDER WIN PCT
Conference Games 49.0% 51.0%
Division Games 46.9% 53.1%
Playoff Games 49.2% 50.8%
Non-Conference Games 51.7% 48.3%
Non-Division Games 51.2% 48.8%
Regular Season Games 49.7% 50.3%

Past Super Bowl Winners and Betting Odds Overview

Here’s a table summarizing recent Super Bowl winners, their opponents, and the betting odds for the winners before the game. These odds reflect the balance of power as perceived by oddsmakers and bettors prior to kickoff.

Year Winner Opponent Score Pre-Game Odds
2024 Kansas City Chiefs San Francisco 49ers 25-22 +110
2023 Kansas City Chiefs Philadelphia Eagles 38–35 +105
2022 Los Angeles Rams Cincinnati Bengals 23–20 -200
2021 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kansas City Chiefs 31–9 +140
2020 Kansas City Chiefs San Francisco 49ers 31–20 -120
2019 New England Patriots Los Angeles Rams 13–3 -140

Key Insights

  • Underdog Victories: While favourites often win, notable underdog victories, such as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2021, have shocked fans and bettors alike. The Buccaneers’ +140 odds meant significant payouts for those betting on their success.
  • Dominant Teams: Teams like the Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots have consistently appeared in Super Bowl games, reflecting their dominance in recent NFL history.

Super Bowl 2025

As the NFL season enters its most thrilling phase, the Super Bowl draws nearer. Explore bet365’s Super Bowl odds below.

Team Odds
DET Lions
3/1
KC Chiefs
7/2
BAL Ravens
9/2
PHI Eagles
9/2
BUF Bills
5/1
MIN Vikings
14/1
WAS Commanders
25/1
LA Rams
35/1
HOU Texans
40/1

The displayed odds are provided by bet365. Please note that odds are subject to change. Always check that the odds are correct before placing your bets at the operator’s website. 

check the bet365 super Bowl odds

Expert NFL Predictions and Betting Tips

Leading up to a matchday, our best tipsters will carefully securitise every possible factor regarding those upcoming matchups. Only after careful analysis of every factor do they come up with their expert NFL picks today.

Our NFL experts have a lot of knowledge about the sport and they follow trends to make informed decisions. They carefully choose the best bets before posting because their success isn’t only in providing a bet, instead, they are trying to win the competition as well.

A quick check of any of our top betting tipsters’ profiles will quickly reveal the total Profit and Yield that each tipster has made to date.

Want to learn more about American Football? Visit the bettingexpert Academy and read our American Football Betting Guide.

Bookmakers For Betting On NFL

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Star ratings are based on our personal opinion of the bookmakers we work with. We also take customer feedback into account in our rankings

All of the top online bookmakers cover NFL betting in depth and provide an excellent range of betting markets, plus consistently strong NFL betting odds.
When choosing an online bookmaker, stick to the well-established big name bookies and be sure that your bookmaker provides these four key elements:

  1. Consistently Competitive Odds
  2. A Wide Range Of Betting Markets
  3. All Major Competitions Covered
  4. Extensive In-Play Betting Markets

Try and find the online bookmaker that provides the best overall coverage of the NFL. Your bookmaker should provide great odds and a wide range of betting markets. Plenty of in-play betting markets are essential, and if possible, live streaming of NFL games.

To find the ideal bookmaker for your picks, be sure to read our bookmaker reviews.

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BetWasp-Strategy
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Under 53.5 points
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Maradona1
+559.2
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Latest NFL tips

Latest NFL results

  • Tuesday, 14th January 2025

  • Los Angeles Rams
    27
    Minnesota Vikings
    9
  • Monday, 13th January 2025

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    20
    Washington Commanders
    23
  • Sunday, 12th January 2025

  • Philadelphia Eagles
    22
    Green Bay Packers
    10
  • Buffalo Bills
    31
    Denver Broncos
    7
  • Baltimore Ravens
    28
    Pittsburgh Steelers
    14
  • Saturday, 11th January 2025

  • Houston Texans
    32
    Los Angeles Chargers
    12
  • Monday, 6th January 2025

  • Detroit Lions
    31
    Minnesota Vikings
    9
  • Sunday, 5th January 2025

  • Arizona Cardinals
    47
    San Francisco 49ers
    24
  • Los Angeles Rams
    25
    Seattle Seahawks
    30
  • Las Vegas Raiders
    20
    Los Angeles Chargers
    34
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