NFL Predictions and Expert Picks

NFL Season 2024

Kansas City still looks like a favorite to win the title in the NFL season 2024 but the first team they face will tell us a lot about the whole season. They will be facing Baltimore Ravens which have been dominating in the preseason even if they lost a few matches.

It will be much different to play against them when the competition starts with Lamar Jackson leading the way. Players to watch are definitely Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers, and Devontez Walker. Besides Baltimore, the Cincinnati Bengals have a fresh team that could be a problem and the same goes for the Detroit Lions.

NFL Predictions Today

During the winter period, it will be hard for the offensive line for every team which will result in more runs instead of passes. A great tip is to find the top teams with a great passing game and focus on them. Or, your NFL predictions can focus on teams like Philadelphia, the Eagle’s defensive line is very strong which helped them reach the number one spot in their group. They will definitely play even better during rain and snowy weather.

NFL Stats

If you’re thinking of betting on the NFL, a good start is to consider a large sample size of betting stats. This can help you identify historical biases present in the market and advantages for teams in certain situations. Let’s first look at straight-up win-loss betting stats.

Straight Up Win-Loss NFL Stats

Below we can see win and loss percentages for teams in certain situations. For example, we can see that home teams win just over 57% of football games. Historically home-field advantage has been worth around 3 points, but this has been challenged recently, with many now believing the advantage to be around 2 points. We can also see an advantage for teams coming off a bye week. Teams in such situations have won just over 55% of their games since 2003.

Betting Picks Against The Spread (ATS) NFL Stats

When we consider picks against the spread, we can identify a few market biases to consider when betting on NFL games. Firstly, away teams have won just over 51% of bets against the spread since 2003, likewise, underdogs have won almost 51%.

As a result, we can see that underdogs playing away games have won against the spread almost 52% of the time. While 52% is not a strike rate to profit given standard bookmaker odds of 1.90 for NFL spread betting, it is certainly a bias to keep in mind. Further, we can see that teams coming off a bye have covered the spread in just over 52% of games.

Over Under NFL Stats

When we look at points totals, we can see a distinct bias in games featuring teams from the same division, with those games finishing under the points total line just over 53% of the time since 2003. This can be explained by the fact that divisional teams play each other twice each season and are therefore defensively better prepared than when playing teams out of division.

In non-division games and non-conference games, where teams play each other rarely, these games have finished with over the points total line, almost 52% of the team—another bias to keep in mind when betting on NFL points totals.

Expert NFL Predictions and Betting Tips

Leading up to a matchday, our best tipsters will carefully securitise every possible factor regarding those upcoming matchups. Only after careful analysis of every factor do they come up with their expert NFL picks today.

Our NFL experts have a lot of knowledge about the sport and they follow trends to make informed decisions. They carefully choose the best bets before posting because their success isn’t only in providing a bet, instead, they are trying to win the competition as well.

A quick check of any of our top betting tipsters’ profiles will quickly reveal the total Profit and Yield that each tipster has made to date.

Want to learn more about American Football? Visit the bettingexpert Academy and read our American Football Betting Guide.

Bookmakers For Betting On NFL

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All of the top online bookmakers cover NFL betting in depth and provide an excellent range of betting markets, plus consistently strong NFL betting odds.
When choosing an online bookmaker, stick to the well-established big name bookies and be sure that your bookmaker provides these four key elements:

1. Consistently Competitive Odds
2. A Wide Range Of Betting Markets
3. All Major Competitions Covered
4. Extensive In-Play Betting Markets

Try and find the online bookmaker that provides the best overall coverage of the NFL. Your bookmaker should provide great odds and a wide range of betting markets. Plenty of in-play betting markets are essential, and if possible, live streaming of NFL games.

To find the ideal bookmaker for your picks, be sure to read our bookmaker reviews.

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